Saturday Precap

A few day-game notes and assorted leftovers, but first:

Happy 87th Birthday, Yogi! Number 8 usually enjoyed his day during his career, hitting .316 with .658 SLG and 3 HRs in 9 games. He struck out just once in 39 PAs — in his final birthday AB, against Frank “Yankee Killer” Lary. (By the way, Lary really deserved that nickname, going 28-13 against them from 1955-63. Against all other teams, Lary was under .500, at 100-103. In 1958, he beat the champs-to-be 7 times in 8 starts; no other pitcher beat them more than 3 times that year.)

__________

Early Saturday games:

Angels 4, @Rangers 2: Starting the day after he took the loss in a rain-shortened start, C.J. Wilson (and 4 relievers) quelled the raging Ranger bats. Mark Trumbo went super-Sonic with a 2-run blast, and the margin of victory came in the 7th in a rare 2-sac-fly rally that featured 3 infield hits (with consecutive bunt singles) and a walk. Wilson even fanned Josh Hamilton twice before the inevitable HR, and recent acquisition Ernesto Frieri got him again in the 8th.

  • Hamilton’s 18 HRs in the first 34 team games ties the mark set by Cy Williams in 1923. One of the four players with 17 HRs in the first 34 is today’s opposing #3 hitter, in 2006 when he hit a career-high 49 HRs.
  • Didn’t he hit one just like this, just last night? He’s giving that insurance sign a lot of free play.

Mets 9, @Marlins 3: New York’s Swinging Singles rapped out 16 hits, with at least one in every inning but the 7th (when they had a walk). David Wright raised his BA to an NL-best .402 with 4 hits, including a HR to RF that snapped a 14-game “drought” (during which he hit .412 with 13 Runs).

  • R.A. Dickey (2 R in 6 IP) had no strikeouts, but he was all over this game. He even made a fine fielding play after being hit on the wrist by a pitch. At 5-1, Dickey is making up for a bit of his poor W-L luck over the past 2 years.
  • New York had 13 singles, 2 doubles and Wright’s HR. They began the day 3rd in the league in BA, but their percentage of hits that are extra-base hits (29%) is 3rd-worst. Milwaukee’s 40% is the highest.
  • Wright’s HR was his 5th off Ricky Nolasco; he’s 24-60 against the righty.
  • Watch this clip all the way through the replay looking in behind the first basemen, and see how close Ike Davis came to being brained by the throw. Speaking of throws, here’s a nice long toss by Wright.

@Brewers 8, Cubs 2: An intentional walk filled the bases for Edwin Maysonet, a 10-year minor leaguer batting in that situation for just the 3rd time in the majors (and the first in 3 years). Maysonet got the better of Chris Volstad on this 0-1 pitch, breaking open a 2-1 game in the 6th with Milwaukee’s first slam of the year and the first allowed by Chicago.

  • The Crew had lost Shaun Marcum‘s last 5 starts, despite his 3.19 ERA.
  • Chris Volstad has lost 10 straight decisions. His last win came just before the 2011 All-Star break. The Cubs have lost all 7 of his starts.
  • I’ve never seen a run attributed to defensive indifference, but what else would you call this?
  • The squeeze is on!” (But so is the safety.)

__________

Jesus Montero‘s rates per 162 games (through Friday 5/11):

  • Yankee Stadium (10 games): .471 BA/1.462 OPS, 65 HRs, 194 RBI, 49 doubles, 97 walks, 113 Ks.
  • Everywhere else (38 games): .245 BA/.658 OPS, 21 HRs, 71 RBI, 26 doubles, 17 walks, 145 Ks.

Cincinnati’s leadoff spot has hit .161 with a .203 OBP and 12 runs in 33 games, making Dee Gordon seem almost palatable. Drew Stubbs of the Reds and Gordon of LA already have nine 0-for-5’s between them; no other player has more than 3. NL leadoff men as a group are getting on at a putrid .313 clip.

Chris Capuano is the 5th pitcher this year with 4 straight starts of 6+ IP and 1 run or less.

Adam Jones (.911 OPS) and Matt Wieters (.890) could be the first qualified Oriole teammates to both top .900 since 1998. From 2000-11, only 4 of the 136 AL batter-seasons of .900+ OPS were by an Oriole.

Lost in the gloom of Minnesota’s bad start is a fine one by Josh Willingham: .313/.424/.646. The Twins essentially traded Michael Cuddyer (wooed to Denver for 3 years and $32 million) for Willingham (3/$21mm). Both are 33-year-old RHB outfielders, and by almost any measure Willingham has been the better both for career and in the past 3 years. The only arguable edge Cuddyer has over Willingham is versatility; he has substantial experience at 1B and 3B, and some at 2B. That versatility was cited by many commentators after Cuddyer signed, but he has yet to start a game anywhere but RF and has just 1 inning elsewhere (1B).

Joey Bats had his first multi-HR game since last July 9. He’s hitting .186 (.171 on balls in play), but he’s drawing his usual walks and striking out less often than in 2010-11.

Dexter Fowler, co-leader in triples for the past 3 years combined (averaging 13), hit his first of the year Friday to end a career-long 46-game drought.

He’ll be in Vegas next month: Kyle Drabek has been lucky so far in keeping his ERA to 3.66 despite a 1.50 WHIP and 6 HRs in 39 IP. But the walks and bad starts are adding up for the 24-year-old, who’s had no sustained success above AA. He’s averaging 5.5 BB/9, about the same as his career rate. And losing 4 straight starts, including the Twins and Angels, won’t help his cause.

Clay Buchholz won without a strikeout for the first time ever. Thanks to 7.46 R/G of run support, he’s 4-1 despite an 8.31 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. He’s allowed 4+ runs in all 7 starts.

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Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago

“•I’ve never seen a run attributed to defensive indifference, but what else would you call this?” John, am I missing something here? I looked at the video (thanks for the quick link) and thought it was a botched play by the Cubs. They weren’t indifferent to Braun getting a jump toward second base, they just screwed up defensively. I am really interested in the official scoring on the play. The box shows Ryan Braun being charged with both being picked off and caught stealing. Was this on the one play or a separate play later in the game? And I… Read more »

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

But, JA, you never included a “sappy” face with that part of your blog. 🙂

You were the king of sappy faces a few nights ago.

Hmmm …. thanks for the clarification on Ryan Braun’s “decoy?”.

So how do the Cub’s pitcher and catcher both get an assist on the play? Weird.

kds
kds
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Under the scoring rules, when one player gets CS, no other player gets a SB on the same play.

I think the way WPA is figured the lead runner gets all the credit/blame on a play where 2 or more baserunners are involved but the batter is not. So Morgan gets .057 (from Fangraphs) and Braun is not involved.

I see the play scored 1-3-4, catcher not involved.

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago

Run attributed to Steve Bartman and something about a goat.
Just ugly.

And Ryan Dempster is 0-1, 1.02 era
Run support: 1.57

Fuggalugly

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago

This is not a blatent attempt to bring Met’s lurkers out of the closet on HHS, but, Mr. Autin, and others, how can you not be giddy about the Metropolitans’ prospects this year? 4.5 games in front of the hated Phillies this late in the season. A reasonably balanced lineup and pitching staff. David Wright lurking in the weeds as an NL MVP candidate if Matt Kemp goes into the tank. 🙂 I know, I know….. but you guys can’t see that the NL East is up for grabs this year because of emotions. Thw Washington Nationals are the Baltimore… Read more »

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

I disagree about the Orioles.

Baltimore is 5th in the league in Runs
And 6th in the league in Runs Allowed.

They have had two starters be lights-out, one hot/cold, and two crappy.

What they DO have is five relievers who have given up 11 earned runs in 80 innings of work.

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

And Washington couldn’t hit their way out of a wet origami tunnel right now, but they have ten pitchers who’ve got the league on lockdown.

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

And the Mets?
Yeah, they look great.
In 2015.
After they spend about a billion dollars on pitching.

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

Voomo, I agree about the O’s pen so far.

But they are already three wins ahead of their Pythagorean projection. Actual record 21-12, Pythagorean projection, 18-15. Stats through Friday’s games, not including their win tonight. (Saturday)

I know the Pythagorean crystal ball is not perfect, but the Orioles cannot cheat it indefintely. They will drop back to the pack, in my opinion.

They have been lucky so far and will not be in the running come September.

Anybody out there to arbitrate between Voomo and myself regarding the Orioles 2012 prospects for a wild-card berth?

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

Voomo, I agree with you about the quality of the O’s pen this year. They have been unreal! However, Baltimore has exceeded their Pythagorean percentage this year by three wins. Actual record 21-12, Pythagorean projection 18-15. Data current through last night (Friday) and not including tonight’s (Saturday’s) win over Tampa Bay. I know the Pythagorean crystal ball is not perfect, but the Orioles cannot cheat it indefinitely. They will not be around in September, in my opinion. They have been “lucky” so far, probably with a high BA with RISP, which cannot be sustained at current levels. Also the bullpen… Read more »

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Sorry for the double post, Voomo.

I am having refresh problems with High Heat Stats on my browser and thought my first comment had been dropped.

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

I’m not saying that they are going to the playoff, just disagreeing that their hitting is saving their pitching.

If I had to predict the AL East, I’d say

TB
NY
Bal
Tor
Bos

And Bal doesn’t get that 2nd WC.
And the apocalypse happens about three months early, in the streets of Boston.

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Voomo @14. Sorry for mis-interpreting your post.

If you have the Orioles third in the AL East but missing the playoffs, who are you awarding the new W-C to? Detroit? Los Angeles? Chicago White Sox? Cleveland?

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Well, now that I look at it, the only AL teams that look like complete teams, meaning, whatever holes they have can conceivably be fixed, are:

Tex
TB
NY
Bal

So, okay,
Tex is the 1 seed
TB is 2
Minnesota is 3
NY 4
Bal 5

Shping
Shping
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

@16 Voomo, do you really mean Minnesota at #3? Or Detroit? I think they’ll be the #1 seed by Sept.

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Just seeing if anybody is paying attention.

But, actually, why not?
They just needs their entire infield and their Rightfielder to start hitting.
That and five starting pitchers.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

What, no respect for my Indians???!!! Somehow we’re in first even though we’re getting almost no production from our first baseman or our outfielders, our bench is horrible, only one starter has an ERA+ above 100 and our bullpen only has 3-4 useful arms. It’s complete smoke and mirrors but I’m enjoying it while it lasts.

Shping
Shping
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Thanks to interleague play, the Twins picthers will actually get to start hitting soon. 🙂 I know, i don’t think that’s what you meant, but it might actually help.

Meanwhile, it is fun to see the O’s be competitive again — so far.

Shping
Shping
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

Enjoy the ride, Ed! It’s hard not to root for the Tribe too!

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

John – You have? I haven’t really noticed that. Anyway, I don’t really know what to make of the team. They’re such an odd mixture. They COULD win 90+ games if their front line talent (Masterson, Jiminez, Hafner, Choo, Santana, Cabrera, Kipnis and Sizemore) all stayed healthy and played up to their potential. But that seems highly unlikely. And when certain players struggle/get hurt, there’s just no one to plug in the gaps. The minors are very depleted of front line talent.

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago

Baseball is the game of eternal hope. Like rivers of water on to a dry place.

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  Mike L

Waxing philosophical, Mike L?

Hope springs eternal every Grapefruit/Cactus League season.

I don’t quite follow your comment. The dry place is the recent performance of the Mets and the rivers of waters are the hopes of Mets’ fans?

The allegory (is that the right literary device, JA) is escaping me.

Shping
Shping
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil L.

I think you’ve got the literary aspects right, Neil. It would sound best as a Mickey Rivers quote though. 🙂

As for the 2nd AL Wildcard and my 2 cents worth, i gotta say the Angels (Detroit will win central)

There also seems to be unspoken theme here about NEastern teams off to surprisingly good starts: O’s, Mets, Nationals. Which team has a better chance of contending in Sept? I say the Nats.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

“•Hamilton’s 18 HRs in the first 34 team games ties the mark set by Cy Williams in 1923.” When Williams hit that 18th HR, it tied him with Sam Thompson (last played in 1898) for the NL career HR lead at 126. Williams ended up with 41 HR that season, his only season (at age 35) over 30 (he hit exactly 30 and led league at age 39 in 1927). After taking the career NL lead, Williams and Hornsby ran #1 and #2 for several years, with Williams always keeping just ahead until Hornsby finally passed him in 1929. In… Read more »

Ed
Ed
11 years ago

BTW, according to Sportsline, CJ Wilson was the first pitcher to start back to back games since 2002. Had he lost he would have been the first starter since 1973 to lose back to back games. They don’t mention who the 2002 or and 1973 pitchers were but I’m sure one of the High Heat sleuths can supply the names.

Ray Sanchez
Ray Sanchez
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

The 2002 pitcher is Aaron Myette. Mr. Myette was ejected from first game after throwing two pitches…

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Ray Sanchez

One down, one to go! Good work!

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  Ray Sanchez

The 1973 pitcher may have been Wilbur Wood. I remember that he started the first game of a double-header, was knocked out and then started the second game.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John – the 2002 criteria is simply about starting 2 straight games, nothing about decisions. Myette started on Sept. 3rd and 4th 2002.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Now I see in the ESPN recap that Myette is the answer.

As for your Rick Langford claim, I’m not sure that’s really within the “rules” of the game. 🙂

Shping
Shping
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Another possibility for consec starts would be the three/four (?) opening series in Japan of the past decade, with the long layoff afterwards. I don’t think any of those pithcers did it, but they might have.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

It was Wood. In the first game of the DH on 7-20-73 he never made it past the first inning when the Yankees scored 8 runs. He did not retire a batter. Well actually he struck out Horace Clarke who then made it first on a pased ball. He did a litle better in the second game making it to the 6th inning but he still lost. I even remember that it was a twi-night DH and I heard the first inning of the first game while driving home from work on the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway. There was a guy named… Read more »

Ed
Ed
11 years ago

I kind of assumed it was Wood given the general time frame, plus I believe he’s the last pitcher to start both ends of a double header.

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

I was at that double header. My last at Yankee Stadium for several years, having been banished to the old Memorial Stadium and forced to watch the O’s. We couldn’t figure out why they trotted Wood out for the second game-if he didn’t have it (and he didn’t) for the first, why would his knuckler knuckle for the second?

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Mike L

Here’s an interview with Wood about the games. He says it was unplanned.

http://www.baseball-almanac.com/players/wilbur_wood_interview.shtml

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Last comment on this, and I’d love to hear from some of the more senior people on this site. My impression of the late sixties early seventies was that baseball was really in decline. Attendance wasn’t great, football was starting to emerge as much more of a national pass-time and to compete for athletic talent-as was basketball on a lesser scale. There was a disconnect between the games and the news-newspapers were still assembled the old way, but baseball had moved to a much more night-game schedule, so often it was hard to follow your team the following day (and… Read more »

no statistician but
no statistician but
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

The whole country was in turmoil, Mike L. It wasn’t just baseball. War protests, police brutality, feminism out of its shell, the break-up of a fairly coherent society into sub-cultures, etc., etc., and god help us Richard Milhous Nixon at the helm.

e pluribus munu
e pluribus munu
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Mike L, My own recollection is that there was not a perceptible decline during that period. There were a number of dramatic pennants/series in the late ’60s (the Sox in ’67, Tigers with McLain – lord help him – in ’68, and some team in ’69). And the ’75 series drew enormous attention. But your comment about the post-merger rise of the NFL is certainly on target. (The problem of incomplete newspaper results was, so to speak, old news by then; the low scoring games of the mid-’60s actually coincided with very high profile years and, of course, that effect… Read more »

Neil L.
Neil L.
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

e pluribus @45, your comment was just an excuse to mention the ’69 Mets. 🙂

So what is America’s game right now, the NFL or baseball?

e pluribus munu
e pluribus munu
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

I’m no authority, but taking press obsession, rabid fans, and length of preseason as measures, I’d say politics.