Wednesday whatsits

Orioles 3, @Mariners 1 (11): Well, naturally.

  • noted philosopher‘s comment on Don Larsen‘s WS perfecto applies just as well to Baltimore‘s 15-2 record in irregular affairs: “Like Sophia Loren’s marriage to Carlo Ponti, the continuing popularity of Danny Thomas, and the political career of Spiro Agnew, there is no rational explanation for this. It just is.”
  • Neither team had a hit with RISP; they only had 7 total chances combined.
  • Adam Jones now has 4 go-ahead HRs in extra innings this year; since 2002, only Nelson Cruz can compare (5 in 2010). So I can’t wait for  Tim McCarver’s postseason rave on Jones’s clutchiness. Fact is, despite those 4 HRs (as important as they were), his season and career clutch stats are fairly poor — RISP, late-&-close, high-leverage.
  • You know that I appreciate the play-by-play on B-R’s box scores, but I wish the order of lineup changes were reported accurately. With Seattle at bat in the 10th inning, 2 on and 1 out, we get this interjection: “Brian Matusz replaces Pedro Strop pitching / Mike Carp pinch hits for Brendan Ryan (SS) batting 9th“. If that was the true order, it would be fascinating — because while Matusz and Carp are both lefties, Carp actually has much better numbers against southpaws in his short career — .300 BA in 130 ABs vs. LHPs, .242 in 413 ABs vs. RHPs. But alas, other sources show that Carp was announced first, then Tooz came on to face him. Which is interesting in itself —  but then, it’s a waste of time to question a Buck stratagem this year.

@Tigers 6, Athletics 2: It don’t mean a thang beyond the personal stats.

  • With Scherzer shelved(?), it now seems likely that  Justin Verlander will win his second straight MLB strikeouts crown (and third over all), as he trails his teammate by 1 and leads #3 King Felix by 16.
  • Oakland didn’t score off Verlander, but they made him work — 122 pitches in 6 innings, almost 5 pitches per batter.
  • Miguel Cabrera‘s path to the Triple Crown has never been so clear. Mike Trout‘s BA is down to .327 (hitting a mere .280 since August 1), and the other 40-HR men are laid up for the nonce — leader Josh Hamilton getting a sinus MRI(?) and #3 man Edwin Encarnacion missing the last 3 games with a coup de toe. Incidentally, 2 of the 13 modern Triple Crowns featured a tie in HRs: Yaz/’67 tied with Killebrew, and Medwick/’37 tied with Ott.
  • I don’t think I’d ever seen three separate bases taken on defensive indifference in one inning. Of course, with Valverde, there’s some overlap of “indifference” and “inability;” stealers are 12-1 off him this year.

@Yanks 4, Jays 2 / @Yanks 2, Jays 1: A twin-billed rebuke to those of us who quibbled that the Bombers couldn’t win without firepower.

  • There are college freshmen right now who were still waiting for H.S. graduation the last time Ricky Romero won a game. His win on June 22 put Romero at 8-1; he’s since lost 13 straight decisions, tying Toronto’s all-time mark and setting a new one-season mark. It also ties Jose Lima for the longest one-year streak this century. The last one-year losing streak longer than 13 was in 1980, 16 games by Mike Parrott. Romero might get 3 more starts this year, so stay tuned.
  • This great throw by Colby Rasmus (AL’s top CF in TZR) stole a run from the Yanks, but Casey McGehee‘s poor baserunning cost them another that inning. He failed to take 3rd when the throw sailed over the cutoff man; that kept Ichiro from taking 2nd and being able to score on Chris Stewart‘s ground-rule double.
  • Think what you like about Brett Lawrie‘s dWAR rating. All I’m saying is, he makes plays like this routinely.
  • Ichiro is the 2nd this year with a 4-SB game and the first in 3 years to add 4 hits; only one other Yankee ever had 4H/4SB in a live-ball game.
  • Ah, but … 4 hits, 4 steals and no Runs? Just two others since 1918; throw in a double and Ichiro’s line becomes unique as far as the P-I can detect.
  • In his 39th career start, Henderson Alvarez finally notched 7 strikeouts.

@Cardinals 5, Astros 0: Houston might have a little more spoiler in ’em next week, when they host the Cards. But on the road … at 16-58, they need only drop their last 7 games to set a new postwar mark for lowest winning percentage at .198.

  • It seems that ever since the Pirates began to fade, the MVP “narrative” (quotes=I hate that term used in this context) has writing out McCutchen and writing in Posey and Braun. But just so you know: The current NL WAR leader is … Yadier Molina. (No word yet if our favorite MVP bloviator is blown away.)

Phillies 3, @Mets 2: Is there such a thing as a hanging fastball? It didn’t break and it wasn’t slow, so it wasn’t a curve. The man who produced it just called it a meatball. Whatever it was, it’s gone now, and it ain’t coming back.

  • Before joining the Mets, Andres Torres had 2 years as a regular: 2010 was good, 2011 bad. This year was worse. This play is his year in a nutshell. If you watched him for a week, you would never believe that he once hit 16 HRs, 43 doubles and 8 triples in a year; I don’t think he could amass those numbers hitting fungoes by himself in an empty ballpark.
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kingcrab
kingcrab
11 years ago

Jeremy Hefner is doing his best Madison Bumgarner impression tonight

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

If you like horror movie series, here’s something for you:

Largest margin losses in Mets history:
19 runs (at PHI): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/PHI/PHI198506110.shtml

17 runs (at PIT): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/PIT/PIT199209260.shtml

16 runs (at ATL): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/ATL/ATL196606160.shtml

16 runs (home game vs. ATL): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYN/NYN199907020.shtml

15 runs (at SDP): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN200008220.shtml

15 runs (at NYY): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYA/NYA200906140.shtml

And now to the 15-run margin games we can add Thursday night’s home game.

PP
PP
11 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

I was at that game. It was BP for the Phils.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

In the first of the Jays/Yankees twin-bill, Omar Vizquel had two hits (for the 10th time this season) to pass Babe Ruth on the career hits list (why do I cringe when I write that). Omar has also now passed the 12,000 PA mark, about 1400 more than Ruth.

I was wondering whether ten 2-hit game by a 45 year-old was special. Not really. Peter Rose had a 5-hit game and a 3-hit game among his final 8 games, and had 9 games of 2+ hits in his final season. Julio Franco had 53 two-hit games after age 45.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

I have no doubt that 5 years from now, when Omar’s eligible for the HOF, some Omar supporter will use that as evidence that he belongs in the Hall.

Jonas Gumby
Jonas Gumby
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Five years from now Omar will be nine years from eligibility

Daniel Longmire
Daniel Longmire
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug, thanks for another Vizquel nugget; I should have a personal RSS based on this topic alone. :] I always feel that he’s accomplishing unique things on a weekly basis simply due to his age, but between Rose, Franco and Cap Anson, there’s not much list-topping to be had for a 45-year-old player these days. That said, passing Ruth in any category is still quite a notable feat.

latefortheparty
latefortheparty
11 years ago

I recognized your quote describing the Orioles games immediately. I got that book, The Great American Baseball Card Flipping, Trading and Bubble Gum Book, when it first came out. It is one of the great baseball books ever. It is insightful and really, really funny.

Evan
Evan
11 years ago

Fortunately, for the sake of John’s mental health, FOX will only be broadcasting the NLCS and the World Series this year. I’ll gladly listen to McCarver’s discussion of Jones’ clutchiness in exchange for knowing that I won’t be subjected to a 5 minute documentary on how Ron Washington runs in place when his players are rounding the bases.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago

Have we talked about Mark Trumbo’s doubleless streak? Do you realize his last double was on July 17th, over 2 months ago? And that he has only 1 double since June 13th, a period of over 3 months?

This is a guy who had 31 doubles last year and had 15 this year during the first 2 months of the season. And then nothing. Granted his batting average has plummeted during this time but he’s still managed to hit 17 homeruns, 2 triples and a bunch of singles during his 3 month doubles outage. Weird.

Jacob
Jacob
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

That’s the type of freak occurrence that I love about baseball. Thanks, Ed.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago

Here’s a question: right now the Houston Astros RBI leader is JD Martinez who only has 55. Anyone know the record for the lowest RBI total for a team leader? Or how to search for it? I looked through some of the early years of a few expansion teams and the lowest I could find was 59 for John Bateman of the ’63 Colt 45s.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Thanks John, but do you mean “RBI less than or equal to 41” or “RBI greater than or equal to 41”? Seems like the LT search won’t have any teams with zero since all teams will have players with LT 41 RBIs.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John: I think you meant RBI=> 41.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago

Thanks for confirming Richard. So what’s the post-deadball record?

nightfly
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

I ran a similar search to JA, only using RBI => 50; I’m checking all the zero teams right now. For example, the ’54 Orioles were led by Vern Stephens with 46. There are a number of 1981 teams returning no players with 50 or more RBI, but I’m not sure about the strike-shortened year. I’m trying to find teams that played full schedules.

nightfly
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

OK, if you include the 1981 teams (six of them), then the “record” belongs to Minnesota’s Mickey Hatcher, who paced the Twinkies with 37 ribbies.

Amazingly, NOBODY on that team hit even ten homers: top man was Roy Smalley, with seven. The entire team managed only 47 homers… but 36 triples, which led the American League.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Wow, thanks guys!

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Nightfly: Check out these two teams, the ’28 White Sox and the ’45 White Sox:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/CHW/1928.shtml

http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/CHW/1945.shtml

The ’28 team hit 24 home runs with no one having more than 3; the ’45 team hit 22 home runs with no one above 4.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

John – I assume there were still players away at WWII as well. Which might have had an effect.

nightfly
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

No wonder Schafer sponsored Mets games for so long… it’s the one beer to have when you’re having more than one, and fans certainly need more than one for this second-half.

I mean, I knew they weren’t as good as their first-half record, but great guns of Navarrone, this is painful.

Tmckelv
Tmckelv
11 years ago
Reply to  nightfly

You know, growing up I never thought anything about that tag line for Schafer. Now it just sounds like “Shafer beer…if your an alcoholic, go to town!!!”

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

10 pitchers for the Mets in a 9-inning game. The most for one team in a 9-inning game since this classic LaRussa lab experiment from the final day of the season five years ago (Troy Percival “starts” and pitches one inning as scheduled): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/PIT/PIT200709300.shtml

MikeD
MikeD
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Hefner, yeah, wow. I exited that game in the 1st inning, only to return at the end to be greeted by more grisly images. Fortunately for the Mets fans, it only counts as one.

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

ESPN reports the all-time record is 18 home games in a row with 3 runs or less, by the pre-Ruth Yankees of 1915. http://espn.go.com/blog/new-york/mets/post/_/id/57308/rapid-reaction-6

MikeD
MikeD
11 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

Hmmm, that was the Dead Ball era. Not a good comparison for a team today. : -)

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John A, you are a Met’s fan? I had no idea.

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

With the completion of Thursday’s games, the Jays and Yankees managed to NOT have a game with four 2500-hit players. Vizquel, A-Rod, Jeter and Ichiro will have to wait for next week in Toronto for another chance to become just the third such quartet. The others:
– Cobb, Collins, Wheat (Athletics), Speaker (Senators) in a number of games in the 1927 season
– A-Rod, Jeter (Yankees), Manny, Garret Anderson (Dodgers) in 2 games in 2010

Jacob
Jacob
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Garrett Anderson! In the midst of his final 29+ OPS season!

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

Andrew McCutchen has started to show signs of picking up his game. He’s batted .350 over the past week, despite a 1 for 5 in Thursday’s game. To avoid having the other M. Cabrera win the NL batting crown (unless Bud should decree that Melky is not eligible), McCutchen probably needs to bat about .400 the rest of the way. Something like 20 for 50 over the last 13 games should do it. A tall order, but not inconceivable. Next week is when he has to make hay – the Pirates have the Astros and Mets on the menu. After… Read more »

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I’m going to agree with that. And I’d go further and say that no one is going to care in ten years that Melky was the BA champion-if anything, it’s going to heighten attention to his cheating.
I also wonder how many winners of qualitative crowns (like BA and ERA) also had suspensions, even short ones, during the season.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

One thing that could be done is to remove the part of the eligibility rule about adding hitless at bats to a player’s total to bring them up to the eligibility minimum. Without that, Melky is one PA short of qualifying.

Dan McCloskey
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Not to mention this would be changing a rule that makes sense. OK, you don’t want Melky to win the batting title. I get it. But, to change the rule to fit his circumstance just doesn’t seem right.

Forgetting about Melky for a second, if a guy comes up a few plate appearances short of qualifying, but he would still have the higher batting average even if he went 0-for-(that many at bats), doesn’t it seem fair that he’s the batting champ?

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

What if Cabrera was suspended later in the season and was leading in a counting stat, home runs or RBIs, for example? Would we want to take those away from him too and declare someone else the HR or RBI champion? Seems a bit absurd.

tag
tag
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I’m not sure that the rule saying you qualify given x number of hitless at-bats makes any sense whatsoever. It’s equivalent to saying that if, say, a sprinter pulls up lame after 95 meters, she can “finish” the face by adding her one-legged hopping speed for those last five meters to her pre-injury 95-meter pace. (Or an Indy car blowing an engine in the last 100 meters of the 500. Do you calculate its pushed-in speed and let it “finish”?) To me, part of winning the batting title is having the required # of at-bats to do so. If for… Read more »

tag
tag
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John, I realize I didn’t make my analogy clear enough. What I meant to suggest is that, say, the runner blew out both hammies simultaneously and simply collapsed and could not finish the race. Or the race car lost its front axle and could not take the checkered flag. Should it then be estimated what time a) the runner would have recorded had she hopped over the finish line (basically penalizing her to a baseline that anyone can achieve, like going 0 for whatever) or b) the car would have finished had it been pushed over the finish line (again… Read more »

tag
tag
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Or, to take another analogy: let’s say you’re the coach of a basketball team ahead by 35 points but you are down to two players due to the others having fouled out. Now one of your last two players, in an absolutely boneheaded move, fouls out with 20 seconds left. You can’t finish the game because there’s no one left to inbound the ball to, and the rules say there has to be. But you say – wait, I’m willing to just keep inbounding the ball to the other team those last 20 seconds and let them score every time,… Read more »

Nash Bruce
Nash Bruce
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I’ve always wondered- why do MLB rules prohibit a team from sending out only eight fielders if they chose to? There was a softball team, years ago, “King And His Court”, who played with like 4 or 5 guys. I don’t know if they still exist……but they held their own. It is easy to make jokes about, but, seriously, is there any situation, any MLB team at all, that anyone could come up with, where playing shorthanded might have actually worked out? (Remembering that there would probably be an advantage in that this guy wouldn’t have to hit, or field,… Read more »

tag
tag
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John,

I actually understood your point, realized the validity of it, and refined my thinking. I wrote a detailed follow-up in your Melky Cabrera post.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

searching vainly for a sarcasm emoticon

Heaven forbid. After all this is MLB, not the NHL where they change the rules 4 or 5 times through the season, depending on what they think needs tweaking at any point in time.

Guess we’ll have to be satisfied that Melky’s season is not going to show up in any future P-I searches based on qualifying for the batting title (I presume that is simply 502 PA currently).

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Based on that, John, for current seasons, it does seem qualified for batting title is just a PA filter when running P-I queries. After all, everybody could theoretically “qualify” for the batting title, including the cup of cofee guy who went 5 for 33 – he finished 637th. Only place in B-R where adding the extra ABs comes into play is on the B-R leaderboards, where the qualifying number (not the actual BA, for example) is shown with an asterisk. But, looks like adding hitless ABs to qualify for rate stat titles is not a new thing. Has been in… Read more »

RJ
RJ
11 years ago

The other side of the Angel Torres trade, Angel Pagan, is now up to 8th in oWAR, tops in triples, and 7th in runs scored.

Molina might be tops in WAR for now but boy is it close: #1 Molina (6.8), McCutchen (6.8), #3 Braun (6.6), Posey (6.6).

Posey has a shot at becoming SF’s first 100 RBI guy since 2004, and first 100 RBI guy not named Barry Bonds or Jeff Kent since 1997.

nightfly
11 years ago
Reply to  RJ

It kills me how low they sold on Angel Pagan. How hard would it have been to let him play center?

nightfly
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I had forgotten about Ramirez, but still… trading a productive everyday player for a reliever is usually a crapshoot at best. Their year-to-year variance is just so great.

Brent
Brent
11 years ago

Waiting on the Yadi Molina is having the greatest season by a Cardinal catcher post (similar to the Posey one from a couple weeks ago). Seriously, though, I think he probably should get some talk for NL MVP. I get that a lot of his WAR is defensive and people don’t trust that as much as offensive WAR numbers, but, in his case, the eyesight test of most observers of his defense agrees with the WAR evaluation. Midwest update: Wednesday: Royals 3 White Sox 0 Thursday Royals 4 White Sox. The Royals beat the ChiSox 12 out of 18 times,… Read more »

Brent
Brent
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Offensively, Simmons had several seasons in the mid to late seventies that would compete, but Simmons loses WAR for defense and never managed a 5.5 WAR season. McCarver’s 1967 season is interesting. His best offensive numbers in a down period for offense with solid D netted him a 5.8 WAR. Going back in time it is difficult to evaluate whether WAR is giving us a good picture, but Walker Cooper’s best WAR (for the Cardinals) was in the 3 range. When Bob O’Farrell won the MVP in 1926, his WAR was 3.4.

Lawrence Azrin
Lawrence Azrin
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I understand that WAR emphatically disagrees and RBI are overrated, but I don’t think we can so easily dismiss his 1947 season, with 35 HR and 122 RBI. Has any other Cardinal catcher besides Ted Simmons approached those numbers?

Tmckelv
Tmckelv
11 years ago

I noticed something strange at the end of last night’s Yankees/Blue Jays game.

The last 6 outs were all via the K (bottom of 8th and top of 9th). That is not really all that remarkable except for the fact that less than a week ago (on Sunday) the Yankees/Rays game started with the first 9 outs all being strikeouts. As has been mentioned numerous times on these blogs, the K is alive and well in 2012.

JDV
JDV
11 years ago

I have to comment on Adam Jones’s clutchiness. Nineteen of his 30 homers either tied the game or put the Orioles ahead. By my assessment, another six put games away for the Orioles, and another four put the Orioles back in games. That’s 29 out of 30 that have significantly impacted the game’s circumstances, if not outcomes. I’ll call that clutch.

JDV
JDV
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Yes, wholly subjective on some of them; and yes, relatively few non-HR clutch hits; and yes, relatively few RBI to HR. The Orioles haven’t scored a lot of runs, period, and the RBI contributions are pretty broadly shared. That said, having followed and enjoyed the team pretty closely all season, Jones has seemingly been ‘the guy’ time and again. And it also has seemed as if when he has failed, the baseball gods have given him a next and a next chance in that game to come through.

tag
tag
11 years ago

Eureka! John. I’ve discovered it. (I like being classically tautological.) Pace Harris and Boyd, there is a rational explanation – well, not for Larson’s perfecto but for the Orangebirds one-run record and success in extras. Had you known this fact at the time, I’m quite confident you would never have ventured your ill-fated wager. Okay, undoubtedly there will be some grumbling and even a few nay-sayers who will claim that this explanation does not satisfy the rigorous strictures of empiricism and the scientific method, but surely they are engaging in rank reductionism to the point of absurdity. To wit: the… Read more »

Brent
Brent
11 years ago
Reply to  tag

My simpler explanation is that the Team and the Fans are still benefiting from the good karma they created during the 9th inning of Game 162 last year.

tag
tag
11 years ago
Reply to  Brent

Gee, Brent, why didn’t you propose that sooner? You could have saved me a lot of typing.

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

@67, John A. I agree, it’s nonsense. Let’s root for McCutchen and Posey to pass him cleanly.

Mike L
Mike L
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Agreed, and the whole thing is idiotic. How does this help clarify anything? I wonder if there are contract provisions out there that might be impacted, like milestone bonuses.

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