Saturday snippets

Twins 6, @Orioles 5: Chris Davis’s dinger drought at 1 game. O’s now 0-2 in 1-run games. Not that it means anything for the future.

  • Josh Roenicke, #2 last year in relief games more than 1 IP, worked the 6th through 8th innings, preserving the tie and earning his first AL win.

 

Nationals 7, @Reds 6: Washington’s turn at the Home Run Derby, with 5 taters plating all 7 runs.

  • Rafael Soriano blew a 2-run lead on a HR and wild pitch. Last year he had just 2 games allowing 2+ runs. He had no wild pitches from 2009-11.
  • Ian Desmond’s go-ahead HR in the 11th helped atone for 2 errors that led to 2 unearned runs. Last year he had 3 tying or go-ahead RBI in extra innings, one of 15 such players.
  • Aroldis breezed the side on 12 pitches in his inning, but he left for a PH; 5 pitches later, the Redlegs were trailing.
  • Last year, J.J. Hoover gave just 2 HRs in 28 appearances — both in one game.
  • It’s a strong lineup when this guy hits 8th.
  • What were you doing at 20 years, 6 months?

@Braves 6, Cubs 5: Call ’em The Brotherhood of the Wolf.

  • Carlos Marmol has been bad for the past 2 years, but this is the first time since 2009 that he’s allowed a run in 3 straight games. He’d been touched for just 1 prior walk-off HR — a pinch-hit grand slam.
  • Justin Upton had 4 prior game-ending RBI, all in a 6-week stretch of 2011.

Dodgers 1, @Pirates 0: Clayton Kershaw dominated again, but he left for a PH after 7. Three men got aboard, and 2 were erased on bad baserunning.

  • That’s 6 runs on 17 hits for the 1-4 Bucs, and consecutive 2-hit shutouts for LA against them. It sounds epically bad — but the 2003 Tigers worsted them with 16, .109 BA, .149 OBP and .313 OPS, and lost all 5 games by a combined 26-4. So Pirates fans are entitled to whatever solace there is in being not as bad as a 43-119 team.
  • Last pitcher to start the year with consecutive shutouts: Dontrelle Willis, 2005.
  • In his last 14 starts, Kershaw has allowed 14 ER (16 total) in 103.1 IP, for a 1.22 ERA.
  • He actually lost 3 of those, by scores of 1-0 (unearned run in his last inning), 2-0 and 2-1 (Kershaw had 2 of their 5 hits).
  • Another 1-man appearance for young Paco Rodriguez, again whiffing Pedro Alvarez, who’ll be a platoon man one of these days.
  • Kershaw might have been lifted after 7 even if his spot hadn’t come up to bat, but do you ever wonder if managers fully consider the specific challenge of pinch-hitting when they make those decisions? For instance, Skip Schumaker, who stood in for Kershaw to start the home 7th, has a career .288 BA and .345 OBP overall, but .246/.295 in 152 tries in the pinch. And that’s about the norm for NL pinch-hitters, who went .230/.309 last year. That’s still better than Kershaw’s career .147/.181, and considering all factors including the caliber of who relieved him, there’s no grounds to question the choice, beyond the entertainment value of seeing him go for the shutout. But I think managers sometimes overrate the formal distinction between “hitter” and “pitcher.” Pinch-hitting is much harder than taking a regular turn in the batting order.

@Phillies 4, Royals 3: Three walks, then 2 whiffs, and finally the first career walk-off for Kevin Frandsen.

  • I don’t mind stating the obvious: Greg Holland, you cannot walk the leadoff man with a 2-run lead in the 9th. You can’t walk Ryan Howard (3 singles in 19 ABs so far) on 4 pitches. And you can’t ever walk Michael Young. Holland blew only 2 saves after assuming the closer role last year, but both featured a walk to the first batter. He’s walked 10% of first batters in his career; last year’s AL rate was 7.5%.
  • Holland’s walks seem to reflect whether he’s on or not. When he walks none, Holland has a 1.68 ERA and 6.0 H/9. When he walks anyone, a 5.04 ERA and 9.4 H/9.
  • Phils are the first to win this year with no more than 4 total bases.

@Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 0: Boston got only 2 hits, while Toronto used the same for all their damage — a 2-run blast by Arencibia and a 3-run kablooey from Rasmus.

  • More good news for the Jays: Their lefty DH got his first hit of the year, bagged his biennial steal, and scored on both HRs.
  • Wishing a speedy recovery for John Lackey. Spectating’s more fun when he’s getting knocked around.

@Tigers 8, Yankees 4: Phil Hughes & friends kept Detroit walled in, but 17 safeties proved more than enough.

  • We all kind of chuckled when the Bombers added Youkilis, Hafner, Wells, Boesch and Overbay — but those fill-ins tallied all the hits, runs and RBI in this game.
  • Detroit has 3 HRs so far, all in a 3-inning span of Friday’s series opener.
  • When early results align with expectations, it’s easy to overreact. But note: Just once since 1990 have the Yanks allowed more than these 31 earned runs their first 5 games. That team also went 1-4, and the losses weren’t close. In game 6, they broke out with 6 runs in the 1st; they won 22 of their next 24 games, and 114 overall — or 125, as their fans often put it. I don’t really know what the moral is — but if they get 6 in the 1st off Verlander today, it might give them a lift.

Athletics 6, @Astros 3: A 3-run boom by Jason Castro gave the Astros their first lead since Opening Day, but 3 unearned put Oakland back up in the 6th. Houston threatened in their half, but a DP killed that, and their last 9 men went down meekly.

  • Very early returns on the Jed Lowrie/Chris Carter trade between these clubs: Lowrie, .476 BA/.560/.952 (that’s his slugging, not his OPS); Carter, 1 for 19 with 10 strikeouts and nada mas.
  • The A’s have the first 4-game win streak this year, matched by …

@Rockies 6, Padres 3: In 4 career starts in Coors field, Jon Garland has gone 6+ innings each time and allowed just 1 HR. Just 6% of all Coors starters went 6+ without a HR.

  • 4 of the first 5 Rockies SPs went 6 IP on 2 runs or less. Last year, they had 5 such starts in the whole 2nd half.
  • A turning point: Tied in the 4th with men at the corners, a 6-4-3 from Cameron Maybin ended the inning. The Rockies rapped 3 straight scoring singles the next frame, after Everth Cabrera booted a potential DP.
  • There’s no obvious reason that Garland should fare well in Coors; his GB/FB ratio is average, while his K rate is well below.
  • San Diego’s second basemen have yet to reach base.
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Daniel Longmire
Daniel Longmire
11 years ago

In yesterday’s Angels-Rangers tilt, Albert Pujols became the first batter (in the searchable games era) to hit 2 home runs and be intentionally walked 3 times in a single game.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

Cool.

Looks like they should have walked him all 5 times. Only player to do that was Andre Dawson, in a 16-inning game. He had just a single to go with the 5 walks.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CHN/CHN199005220.shtml

Barry Bonds was intentionally walked 3 or 4 times on 16 different occasions. He didn’t hit a homer in any of those games. Second on the list of triple IWs are Mark McGwire and Ryan Howard, with 3 times apiece. McGwire had a homer in 2 of those 3 games.

Jimbo
Jimbo
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

I bet Bonds had some 2 hr, 2 IBB games.

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Jimbo

Actually, the Play Index doesn’t show any multi-homer, multi-IBB games for Bonds. Multi-homer, multi-IBB games are a very rare thing (18 such games since 1955, when IBBs began to be recorded as a separate stat).

Personally, I’m not a fan of IBB stats, as the difference between an “intentional walk” and “pitching around” a hitter or “pitching cautiously” to a hitter is a gray area rather than the bright line that the IBB stat suggests.

bstar
bstar
11 years ago

I just noticed this, and it’s probably because of the recent replacement level bump that everyone’s gotten in rWAR.

Albert Pujols is the only major leaguer in the searchable era to have 12 straight 5+ WAR seasons to start his career.

Bonds/Mantle/Aaron/Eddie Mathews have 11 such seasons out of their first 12. On the pitching side, Tom Seaver has 11 also.

Matthew Clark
Matthew Clark
11 years ago

First off, I love your site. The information is sophisticated and the writing is intelligent. Just as important, the audience is respectful and contributes in a serious way to the overall value of the articles. I wanted to ask a question about something you said regarding pinch hitting for Kershaw after 7 innings: “Pinch-hitting is much harder than taking a regular turn in the batting order.” Is it that pinch hitting is much harder, or is it that hitters who are good enough to do well at pinch hitting would already be in the lineup? And the few times that… Read more »

bstar
bstar
11 years ago
Reply to  Matthew Clark

Matthew, I’ll let others tackle your larger questions.

But let’s look at the example you used: Joe Mauer.

Joe Mauer pinch-hitting is 7 for 38 (.184) with 1 HR.

bstar
bstar
11 years ago
Reply to  bstar

That was just one player, so Matthew let me use the 10 players with the highest active batting average in the game today and see how they’ve done pinch-hitting: Pujols – 8 for 23 (.348) Mauer – 7 for 38 (.184) Ichiro – 1 for 18 (.056) Helton – 8 for 49 (.163) Miggy – 3 for 8 (.375) Votto – 5 for 16 (.313) Jeter – 1 for 6 (.167) Braun – 4 for 10 (.400) Holliday – 4 for 22 (.182) R Cano – 6 for 15 (.400) Add those all together, and you get 47 / 205… Read more »

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Matthew Clark

Good question, Matthew. There are in fact many reasons why pinch hitting stats may be lower than normal hitting stats, including the reason that you identify: pinch hitters are usually on the bench for a reason, and that reason is often that they are not as good as the hitters in the starting lineup. Another reason could be that hitting as a whole goes down in the later innings, when most pinch hitters come to the plate, probably because relief pitchers are coming into the the game fresh at that point. So, yes, the stats J.A. mentioned don’t necessarily prove… Read more »

Matthew Clark
Matthew Clark
11 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

Awsome! I knew there was a reason I spent too much time on this site.
Thank you.

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Matthew Clark

Too much time on this site? Impossible.

Doug
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Matthew Clark

The other factor to note about pinch-hitting in today’s game is that the ever-expanding pitching staffs make having a “professional” pinch-hitter (i.e. a pinch-hitting specialist who is good in the role) a luxury that most teams can no longer afford. With a 13 man pitching staff in the AL, your bench is 3 players: a backup catcher; a reserve infielder; and a reserve outfielder. With such a thin bench, defensive abilities dictate who will be on it. Back in the 1970s when I started following baseball closely, many teams would have both a left-handed and right-handed pinch-hitting specialist, or a… Read more »

no statistician but
no statistician but
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Funny. Just a few days ago I was thinking of raising the subject of the decline of the pinch hitter. There once were players, Matthew Clark, who—for a few years, usually but not always late in their career lives—made things happen as pinch hitters. Jerry Lynch, a poor fielding but clutch hitting outfielder for the Reds, had several years in which he was justly feared, notably in 1961, for his prowess late in the game. He pinch hit 59 times in 1961 and managed a BA of .404, an OBP of .525, and a SLG average of .851. His 25… Read more »

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

Many Mota’s career pinch-hitting record works out nicely as a “season” of 592 PAs. He went .300/.373/.368 with 149 hits (but only 23 XBH), 61 walks and 115 RBI. He also had 18 sacrifice bunts, 12 sacrifice flies, reached on an error 13 times, and grounded into only 13 double plays.

Matt Stairs also had a “season” of PH appearances with 521 PAs. Despite his record 24 PH home-runs, he drove in just 91 runs, well behind Mota who had only 4 PH homers.

Shping
Shping
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Mota was amazing. It’s nice to see that my fond memories of his abilities are supported by the stats. Also especially interesting to see:

–A great example of how dependent RBIs are upon the situation. How may guys will slug only .368 but still drive in 115 runs?

–And 18 sac bunts? Wow, that’s a ton for a pinch-hitter. Different times.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

How may guys will slug only .368 but still drive in 115 runs?

Actually, none. The lowest slugging percentage to drive in that many runs was Joe Carter with .391 SLG and 115 RBI in 1990. Next was Maurice Van Robays in 1940 with .402/116.

The most RBI slugging as low as .368 was 96 by Milt Stock in 1923 with .363 SLG. Next are John Mayberry in 1976 (.342) and Stuffy McInnis in 1914 (.368), both with 95 RBI.

no statistician but
no statistician but
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Maurice Van Robays ought to have an award named after him: short career, one surprising season, totally forgotten now—the MVR award.

no statistician but
no statistician but
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

A few more in pairs:

Mays: .258
Mantle: .229
Schmidt: .204
Brett: .226
Ted Williams: .294
Musial: .281

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

Into Sunday’s games and R.A. Dickey crashed and burned again. The last NL CYA winner to allow 4 or more runs in his first two starts of the following season – Tom Glavine in 1999 (Glavine allowed 4 or more in 4 of his first 5 starts).

Dickey and catcher Henry Blanco joined the list of batteries with a combined age exceeding 80 years.

Tim Pea
Tim Pea
11 years ago

Good call on Clay Kershaw. He’s the odds on MVP at this point in the season.

Wade
8 years ago

Worst Motel Ever