Monday game notes: Westworld

Our West division report runs a day late, as usual:

Athletics 10, @Brewers 2: No matter the weather, Oakland loves hot Coco. The leadoff man never known as Covelli watched the first pitch as a courtesy, then crunched the next over the right-field wall, providing Milwaukee their customary early deficit. Oakland scored 6 more in the 5th, starting with 5 straight hits and adorned with the first of Tommy Milone‘s two bingles, and the rout was on. Crisp had 4 hits and a walk, raising his slashes to that happy land, .300/.401/.513.

  • All 9 A’s hit safely (7 with multiples); 8 scored, 8 drove one in.
  • A’s have won 15 of 17, slashing the Rangers’ lead from 7 to 1.5 games.
  • No walks drawn by Milwaukee; they’re 28th in the majors, averaging 2.4 BB/G, almost 2 fewer per game than the #1 A’s.
  • Milone joined Mark Mulder as the only A’s pitchers with 2 runs in a game since the DH was invented; Mulder’s game was hitless. Milone is 4 for 18 with a HR, 4 runs, 6 RBI; he batted .273 in the minors (12 for 44). He looks plenty hitterish up there … but isn’t this a rather cautious approach by Carlos Gomez, with 2 outs and a run scoring if it falls in? Gomez has a good reputation and the numbers support it, but I’ve seen some timidity, too.
  • The Brewers are 5-20 against southpaw starters, dropping 15 of their last 16. They’re 16-15 against righties. But it’s just a fluke: Their hitting stats are better against lefties.

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@Cardinals 7, D-backs 1: Lance Lynn stoned the Snakes until the 6th, while the Cards scored in 5 of those first 6 innings. Yadier stayed calm and raised his BA back to .350; Matt Carpenter scored 3 for a share of the NL lead (he’s 6th in OBP); and Carlos Beltran hit his 13th HR and drove in 3. Yup — that sounds like the best team going.

  • Although he was 5th in SO/9 last year, many saw Lynn as a middle-of-the-pack guy, since he enjoyed the majors’ best run support. His first 3 outings seemed to support that view, with a 5.40 ERA but 2 wins and an average of 8 RS/G. But since then, Lynn’s been a #3 starter only by the schedule: 2.10 RA/9 over 9 starts, and keeping up that strong K rate.
  • In Arizona’s 31 wins, Paul Goldschmidt has a 1.249 OPS and 39 RBI. In their 25 losses, .662 and 8 RBI.

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@Reds 3, Rockies 0: No walks in 8 shutout innings for Bronson Arroyo, his 20th straight start with 2 BB or less (2nd-longest active streak); he’s had one 3-walk start in 44 games since 2012. In the 8th, Jay Bruce lengthened a slim lead with a 2-out, 2-run mash in his first time seeing lefty Josh Outman, who owns a career .183 BA against LHBs. Colorado’s Tyler Chatwood was off to his 5th good start in a row, but left after 4 IP with a sore soupbone.

  • Aroldis … pitches … the … ninth. And Dusty sleeps well.
  • Chatwood went 0-for-2 at bat, but made contact both times. He has 4 Ks and 11 hits in 33 career ABs.
  • Michael Cuddyer had a single for 4, but held onto the NL lead in SLG and OPS. That much is a Coors factor, but .305/.887 with 18 RBI in 22 road games is just fine.
  • Arroyo’s always had good control, but since 2012 he’s cut his walk rate to 1.5 BB/9, down from 2.5 in his prior 8 full years.

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Astros 2, @Angels 1: Joe Blanton held Houston to 3 hits and no walks, but they made just enough of those knocks to finish the 4-game sweep and extend their streak to 6, all on the road. At least the Angels were in all 4 games.

  • Should we have been shocked by this? The Astros had split their previous 6 with the Halos, split their previous 14 overall, and, well, they have played better on the road than at home.
  • Erik Bedard fanned just 2, a career low for 7+ innings, but he made the necessary pitches, getting Albert and Trumbo with a man on 2nd in the opening frame, and retiring Trout and Pujols after men at the corners with 1 out in the 3rd (although a run scored). With just 1 walk, he managed to get through 7 IP for the first time since last August.
  • Chris Carter on the road: .289/.936, 8 HRs, 20 RBI, 18 runs in 27 games.
  • How many veteran starters will set a new career high in strikeouts against Houston this year? Blanton only matched his high, with 11 Ks in 8 IP; no walks, 3 hits, but his 9th loss. His last 3 starts have been good.

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@Dodgers 2, Padres 1: A lightning bolt was loosed by Yasiel Puig to double off a runner and seal the Dodgers’ win in his MLB debut.

Puig was leading the AA Southern League with a .982 OPS, 100 points above anyone who’s still in the minors. He ranked top-8 in doubles, triples, HRs, RBI and steals, and had zero GDP. The MLB Network last night showed some clips of Puig in the minors and back in Cuba, and while their tone was a bit fawning, he seems an impressive athlete with an all-around feel for the game. Puig is the 5th Dodger to wear #66, and the 6th in the majors this year.

  • When you talk about hidden benefits of the running game, don’t forget its hidden costs. Chris Denorfia was running on a 2-0 count with 1 out when Kyle Blanks lined out to Puig in deep RF. Bad day at the track for Denorfia, who was picked off 1st base (as the trail runner) with 1 out in the 4th, down 0-2, and rapped into a DP with 2 on to end the Padres’ rally in the 6th.
  • Of the game’s top 5 plays in Win Probability, 4 were DPs.
  • Everth Cabrera is 23-5 in steals, putting him on a pace of 65 SB, but only 82 runs despite a fine .362 OBP. San Diego’s #2 men have batted .227 — or .199 if you take out Cabrera’s 18 games in the 2-hole. Their #8 men have outdone the deuces in BA, OBP and SLG.
  • HRs by Scott Van Slyke and Adrian Gonzalez. Dodgers have just 8 multi-HR games, 27th in MLB.
  • Last Dodger to start at leadoff in his debut: Jose Offerman, 1990. (And who, may I ask, was Gibby Brack?)
  • Tough loss for Eric Stults (2 runs, no walks in 7 IP), who got no decision in previous 12-K, 1-run gem. In his last 7 starts, Stults has averaged 2 runs and almost 7 innings. Grabbed off White Sox waivers last May, the 33-year-old Stults is 12-8, 3.31 in 26 SD starts, with excellent control. There’s nothing in his past to suggest this success.

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@Mariners 4, White Sox 2: Chicago’s first lead in a week didn’t last the inning. The tying run was set up by a passed ball, and came in with 2 outs on an 0-and-2 goof. (Two words, Mr. Danks: waste pitch.) In the 3rd, the firm of Morales y Ibanez had long RBI hits on back-to-back payoff pitches.

No in-between for Joe Saunders this year: 6 starts of 6+ innings with (IP>4*R) — only his regal teammate has more — averaging 1 run in 7 IP for those six games. The other six starts are a toxic dump: 11.17 ERA, all team losses. In the good group, the worst Game Score is 62; the best of the bad group is 32.

  • That 0-and-2 hit came from Jesus Sucre. He’s struck out once in 27 PAs, but he’s still just 5 for 24, all singles.
  • No secret that Tom Wilhelmsen has hit a speed bump in the last 2 weeks, blowing 3 of 5 saves while yielding 6 runs in 7.1 innings. Commentators on the MLB Network said that he hasn’t commanded his curve this year and that his fastball is straighter, leading to fewer swing-and-misses. While his Ks are down, the strike stats don’t support that analysis. His swinging strike percentage is down one point from last year, 19% to 18%, which is still above the AL average of 16%. And his hits allowed are way down, which might be luck and might mean nothing, but it sure doesn’t back the theory of better swings on fatter pitches. All I see is, his walks are up a bit (especially during this little slump), and the few hits he’s allowed have been clustered in the bad games. Before the slump, he allowed just 1 run on 6 hits through 18 IP.
  • Paul Konerko‘s last 100 games: .240 BA, .385 SLG, 36 runs, 45 RBI, all batting cleanup. Even the good guys get old.
  • Sox have crapped out with 11 runs total in their 7-game swoon. It’s their longest streak since ’88 scoring 3 runs or less.
  • Tyler Flowers has been charged with 6 passed balls this year, 3rd most in the AL. He had 1 last year, in about the same innings.
  • Gordon Beckham returned from the DL Monday, and today marks 4 years since his debut, 10 months after signing and with 59 games on the farm, with “his whole future ahead of him,” as my dad liked to say. I offer no insight on how his career devolved from R.O.Y. contender to batting .232 with a .296 OBP for 2011-12, only the observation that my Sox-fan brother’s eyeball summation — “pop-up machine” — is well supported by data. In each of the prior two seasons, Beckham was very near the top in “IF/FB,” or percentage of fly balls that were on the infield. He also had a very low BAbip in those years, .262 — among the lowest 10% of qualifiers. I don’t know if those things tend to be related.

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@Phillies 7, Marlins 2: Domonic Brown is in the zone, and this is a hanger.

  • Nine homers in 10 games for Brown … and 10 runs.
  • Last pitcher before Kyle Kendrick with a triple in a Complete Game: Cole Hamels, May 3, 2011. (Best thing about Kendrick’s hit was … he didn’t get picked off afterwards.)
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Luis Gomez
Luis Gomez
10 years ago

Ok, so this kid Puig seems like the real deal. He is gonna keep torturing us for years to come.

RJ
RJ
10 years ago
Reply to  Luis Gomez

There are 13 position players for the Dodgers with 19 or more games under their belts. Puig already has as many or more homers than 10 of them.

I know Spring Training stats can be… misleading, but his numbers this spring were just ridiculous. With all of LA’s problems you wonder why he didn’t come up sooner.

Hartvig
Hartvig
10 years ago

“A lightning bolt was loosed by Yasiel Puig ”

His approach was terrible and footwork wasn’t much better and he still let loose with a 200+ foot strike. Get somebody in there like Al Kaline to work with him on how to approach the ball and set himself up for the throw and he might really turn a few heads.

mo
mo
10 years ago

When was the last time a player hit 2 home runs in extra innings like John Mayberry last night in Philadelphia? MLB.com noted that it was the first time in history that the 2nd homerun was a walk-off grand slam.

deal
10 years ago
Reply to  mo

Raul Ibanez had a somewhat similar crazy game in the playoffs last yr.

Game tying HR in the 9th followed by Game winning HR in the 12th.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYA/NYA201210100.shtml

and to add to that Ibanez, like Mayberry, was not the starter in that game as well.

Rocco
Rocco
10 years ago
Reply to  deal

I think that Raul’s WPA of 0.828 in that playoff game is one of the highest ever, especially for a playoff game.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago

“That 0-and-2 hit came from Jesus Sucre. He’s struck out once in 27 PAs” Most PA in a season for anyone with SO in fewer than 4% of PAs. 2012 – 22, Hank Conger (no SO) 2011 – 61, Livan Hernandez (2 SO) 2010 – 53, Eduardo Nunez (2 SO) 2009 – 9, Steve Holm (no SO) 2008 – 74, Luis Cruz (2 SO) 2007 – 102, Steve Finley (4 SO) Players doing this in a qualifying season, since 1961. Rk Yrs From To Age 1 Tony Gwynn 7 1984 1998 24-38 Ind. Seasons 2 Bill Buckner 6 1974 1986… Read more »

PP
PP
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Buckner and Gwynn almost did it for their careers in over 10,000 PAs. Nice symmetry for Billy B: 450 BBs, 453 SOs.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  PP

Unfortunately, Buckner managed less than 15 WAR, the least of any player with 10,000 PAs (next lowest WAR total is Harold Baines with 38).

Hard to contribute a lot of value when you almost never take a walk.

PP
PP
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

I saw that. A very strange stat IMO for a 20 year player.

Darien
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Yogi Berra, of course, was known for precisely this sort of feat — in his first year, 1946, he had only 1 K in 23 PA. Still, it’s only 23 PA… but the next year, he had 306 PA and only 12 strikeouts, for a nifty 3.92%. He slipped a bit in the next few years, but then, in 1950, had a mind-boggling 12 strikeouts in 656 PA (1.82%!).

no statistician but
no statistician but
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Prior to 1961, of course, there were a few others, actually numerous others.

Younger, less historically oriented followers of this site might be amazed at the record of Joe Sewell in this regard, not to mention that of Joe DiMaggio, a slugger they may have heard of out of the dim past.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago

Tommy Holmes struck out once in his first 232 (possibly a few more) PA and Johnny Sain, the pitcher, struck out once in his first 178 (possibly one more)PA.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago

Since I mentioned Johnny Sain I may as well mention that he is one of 3 players to accumulate 100+ PA in a season without a K. The 3 are Lloyd Waner with 234 PA in 1941, Bill Rariden with 108 PA in 1920 and Sain with 104 PA in 1946.

bstar
bstar
10 years ago

Spahn, Sain, and pray for…a K? Sorry.

Doug
Doug
10 years ago

Welcome back, Richard.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Thanks Doug. I made a trip back to NY for a few days and finally got to see the new Yankee Stadium. I saw the Wednesday afternoon game and for a while I thought I was witnessing my second perfect game. It was really weird not hearing Bob Sheppard’s voice.

birtelcom
Editor
10 years ago

The inning-by-inning line score for today’s (Wednesday’s) Mariners/White Sox game may be the most unlikely one you will ever see even if you follow baseball another 50 years.

Doug
Doug
10 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

No kidding. That has to be a first. Love that the pitcher who gives up the 5 run lead finishes the game and gets the win.

Love Adam Dunn’s line – 0 for 4, with 4 walks. Only the 23rd time (incl. twice in 2012) with 8+ PAs, 0 hits and 4+ walks

And Seattle’s 19 SOs to go with 16 hits, tied for the most SOs with that number of hits, with 3 previous occasions incl. Pittsburgh against St. Louis last year.

RJ
RJ
10 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

I encourage any and all to check out the clip of the game-tying grand slam in that game, if only to see an adult unintentionally KO a small child (presumably his son) in the “melee” for the ball.