Joe Smith: no ordinary Joe

One of the nice things about playoff baseball is the opportunity to watch teams that you don’t see that often and, in so doing, see some players that may have flown under your radar. One such player is the Angels’ Joe Smith, a pitcher with a profile as anonymous as his name, but with a very different pedigree.

More after the jump on an anything but ordinary Joe.


Smith just completed his eighth major league season and first with the Angels. Take a look.

Rk Player WHIP ERA+ ERA FIP G Year Age Tm GF SV IP BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
1 Joe Smith 0.804 202 1.81 2.85 76 2014 30 LAA 26 15 74.2 15 68 .172 .234 .257 .491 42
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/7/2014.

To say that Smith was dominant is to damn him with faint praise.

While this season was his best, it’s certainly not his first stellar campaign. Before the Angels landed him, Smith had played 5 seasons in Cleveland and two with the Mets. He saw regular duty each year save for the 2009 season when injury limited him to 34 IP. What is notable about his first eight seasons is that Smith has posted a 100 or better ERA+ and ERA under 4.00 each year. Underwhelmed are you? Well, those seemingly modest accomplishments put Smith in this elite group of relievers to start a career the same way (min. 30 IP each season).

Rk Name Yrs From To Age
1 Joe Smith 8 2007 2014 23-30 Ind. Seasons
2 Huston Street 8 2005 2012 21-28 Ind. Seasons
3 Jonathan Papelbon 8 2005 2012 24-31 Ind. Seasons
4 Trevor Hoffman 8 1993 2000 25-32 Ind. Seasons
5 John Franco 8 1984 1991 23-30 Ind. Seasons
6 Craig Lefferts 8 1983 1990 25-32 Ind. Seasons
7 Dan Quisenberry 8 1979 1986 26-33 Ind. Seasons
8 Sparky Lyle 8 1967 1974 22-29 Ind. Seasons
9 Bob Locker 8 1965 1972 27-34 Ind. Seasons
10 Ron Perranoski 8 1961 1968 25-32 Ind. Seasons
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/7/2014.

Delving a bit deeper to look at Smith’s past four seasons shows that he has appeared in 70 or more games each year and posted an ERA under 3.00 each time. What other pitchers have strung together four such seasons? It’s a short list.

Rk Name Yrs From To Age
1 Joe Smith 4 2011 2014 27-30 Ind. Seasons
2 Rollie Fingers 4 1974 1977 27-30 Ind. Seasons
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/7/2014.

Fingers pitched about twice as many innings as Smith in their streaks. But, Smith was the clear leader in ERA with 3 of his 4 seasons under 2.50 compared to 3 of 4 above that mark for Fingers. Same story with ERA+ as Fingers topped out at 136 in his 1976 season while 3 of Smith’s seasons were north of the 160 mark.

Leaving aside consecutive seasons, Smith’s three seasons with ERA under 2.50 in 70+ appearances again put him in exclusive company, as every one of the 31 seasons represented below came with a 150 or better ERA+ mark.

Rk Name Yrs From To Age
1 Billy Wagner 4 2003 2010 31-38 Ind. Seasons
2 Joe Smith 3 2011 2014 27-30 Ind. Seasons
3 Tyler Clippard 3 2011 2014 26-29 Ind. Seasons
4 Brad Lidge 3 2004 2008 27-31 Ind. Seasons
5 Eric Gagne 3 2002 2004 26-28 Ind. Seasons
6 Mariano Rivera 3 2001 2005 31-35 Ind. Seasons
7 Keith Foulke 3 2001 2004 28-31 Ind. Seasons
8 Jeff Shaw 3 1996 1998 29-31 Ind. Seasons
9 Roberto Hernandez 3 1993 1997 28-32 Ind. Seasons
10 Hoyt Wilhelm 3 1952 1968 29-45 Ind. Seasons
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/7/2014.

Where might Smith’s career be headed? He is one of 30 relievers to pitch 300 games and 400-600 IP thru age 30, with an ERA+ of 130 or better (Smith has a 143 ERA+, ranking 13th of those 30 in that metric). Like Smith, nine of the 30 are currently active. Of the remaining 21, eight had 3 or fewer seasons remaining and eight had 7 or more years left. The median remaining career marks for those 21 are 4.5 seasons with just under 200 IP and a 120 ERA+. Here’s the list.

Rk Player ERA+ ▾ From To Age G GF SV IP BB SO ERA FIP Tm
1 Mariano Rivera 223 2001 2013 31-43 783 707 487 831.1 142 778 1.98 2.56 NYY
2 Billy Wagner 218 2003 2010 31-38 467 391 241 484.2 132 607 1.99 2.65 HOU-PHI-NYM-BOS-ATL
3 Robb Nen 151 2001 2002 31-32 147 137 88 151.1 42 174 2.62 2.27 SFG
4 John Wetteland 151 1998 2000 31-33 187 175 119 188.0 57 185 3.30 3.84 TEX
5 Trevor Hoffman 137 1999 2010 31-42 660 556 413 647.2 158 626 2.93 3.10 SDP-MIL
6 Mike Henneman 129 1993 1996 31-34 192 162 89 198.2 79 162 3.62 3.78 DET-HOU-TEX
7 Jeff Nelson 128 1998 2006 31-39 421 117 20 369.2 230 410 3.51 3.77 NYY-SEA-TEX-CHW
8 Armando Benitez 127 2004 2008 31-35 198 145 92 194.2 89 182 3.42 4.50 FLA-SFG-TOR
9 Keith Foulke 123 2004 2008 31-35 190 123 48 209.1 53 172 3.78 4.38 BOS-OAK
10 Jesse Orosco 122 1988 2003 31-46 880 255 37 699.2 341 673 3.52 3.96 CLE-MIL-BAL-STL-LAD-NYY-SDP-MIN
11 Jeff Montgomery 120 1993 1999 31-37 373 315 189 427.2 143 339 4.00 4.21 KCR
12 Gary Lavelle 116 1980 1987 31-38 395 183 62 563.0 207 399 3.18 3.11 SFG-TOR-OAK
13 Tim Burke 115 1990 1992 31-33 168 85 26 220.0 65 121 3.23 3.71 MON-NYM-NYY
14 Scott Williamson 107 2007 2007 31-31 16 2 0 14.1 8 16 4.40 3.59 BAL
15 Brad Lidge 105 2008 2012 31-35 225 162 102 202.1 117 238 4.00 3.82 PHI-WSN
16 Gregg Olson 104 1998 2001 31-34 166 104 44 171.2 77 139 4.19 4.51 ARI-LAD
17 B.J. Ryan 100 2007 2009 31-33 90 61 37 83.0 49 74 4.34 4.86 TOR
18 Greg McMichael 99 1998 2000 31-33 115 30 2 118.0 59 90 4.42 5.25 LAD-NYM-OAK-ATL
19 David Riske 78 2008 2010 31-33 69 11 2 66.2 33 43 5.40 4.96 MIL
20 Joe Sambito 74 1984 1987 32-35 140 59 12 140.2 56 94 5.37 4.35 HOU-NYM-BOS
21 Rob Dibble 67 1995 1995 31-31 31 8 1 26.1 46 26 7.18 7.70 CHW-MIL
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/7/2014.

So, Smith would seem to have a good chance to be an effective reliever for several more years. The Angels have him signed through 2016 and it looks like they have a good one.

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Dr. Doom
Dr. Doom
9 years ago

Fascinating! As a Midwesterner who goes to bed early and who pays more attention to the NL, relief pitchers on West Coast are not exactly my forte. Thanks for sharing this!

mosc
mosc
9 years ago

To be fair, the guy just signed a big deal this offseason all with a total of 3 career saves and 0 career starts. Setup men rarely get that kind of money. The angles ended up using him as a closer some but looking at his 2014 salary of $5.25m he seems hardly underrated. That’s about the same as David Robertson got in his final year of arbitration ($5.21m) with far better numbers besides service time. It’s more than Uehara got coming off a year as an established clozer and dazzling numbers too. Looking at other free agents, he got… Read more »

David P
David P
9 years ago
Reply to  mosc

Mosc – Your analysis is quite puzzling. First of all, you simply can’t compare a free agent contract to what someone receives in arbitration. Robertson will get his this year and no doubt he’ll get paid more than Smith. Second, none of the guys you mentioned offered what Smith did – youth, consistency, and health. Teams rightfully put a premium on those factors (above and beyond talent/performance) and pay accordingly.

BTW, Uehara signed his contract with the Red Sox before becoming their closer, not after.

mosc
mosc
9 years ago
Reply to  David P

Uh, I think the last year of arbitration is very comparable. Here’s two guys: Pitcher one 6+ years service, going into age 29 season, career: ERA+ 143,ERA 2.85, 319.1 IP, SO/9 6.9, 0GS, 0S, 6.0 WAR Pitcher two 6+ years service, going into age 30 season, career: ERA+ 136,ERA 2.97, 378.2 IP, SO/9 7.4, 0GS, 3S, 7.2 WAR Very similar looking guys right? Player 1 signs for $7M and player 2 signs for $15.75M. Player 1 is lefty Eric O’Flaherty, player 2 is Joe Smith. As I mentioned Fernando Rodney got less than Joe Smith guaranteed and not a whole… Read more »

David P
David P
9 years ago
Reply to  mosc

Seriously Mosc? O’Flaherty was coming off of Tommy John surgery!!! You can’t actually expect him to get the same type of contract as a healthy pitcher.

Now let’s look at Rodney vs. Smith:

Rodney: 3.9 WAR from 2011-2013, ranging from +3.8 to -0.5, age 36

Smith: 5.2 WAR from 2011-2013, ranging from +2.3 to +1.1, age 29

Smith is much younger and a lot more consistent. Quite frankly he deserved to get paid more than Rodney.

Albanate
Albanate
9 years ago

Smith was in the Mets during an era when they needed to have one side-arming righty in the pen. After their experience with Greg Burke last year, that era seems to be over.

David P
David P
9 years ago

Thanks Doug. As a Cleveland fan, I was well aware of Smith and his value and was sorry to see him leave in FA (even if it was expected).

I think he tends to get overlooked because he’s not a hard thrower, which is why Cleveland never used him as a closer and the Angels only did so reluctantly.