Will Middlebrooks has started off really well in the first 10 games of his MLB career. Just to play devil’s advocate, though, check out the list of players in the last 20 years to have at least 4 HR in their first 10 career games:

Sure, there are a few awesome players on here, such as Matt Kemp, Josh Hamilton, Carlos Delgado, and Andruw Jones. But check out the career homers for all the guys in this group:

Rk Player HR From To
1 Carlos Delgado 473 1993 2009
2 Andruw Jones 424 1996 2012
3 Geoff Jenkins 221 1998 2008
4 Matt Kemp 140 2006 2012
5 Josh Hamilton 136 2007 2012
6 Carlos Quentin 121 2006 2011
7 Mike Jacobs 100 2005 2010
8 Matthew Joyce 51 2008 2012
9 Bobby Estalella 48 1996 2004
10 Mark Quinn 45 1999 2002
11 Brant Brown 45 1996 2000
12 Shelley Duncan 33 2007 2012
13 Kevin Roberson 20 1993 1996
14 Taylor Teagarden 16 2008 2011
15 Jason Kipnis 13 2011 2012
16 Jose Oliva 13 1994 1995
17 J.D. Martinez 9 2011 2012
18 Bucky Jacobsen 9 2004 2004
19 Will Middlebrooks 4 2012 2012
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/14/2012.

Bucky Jacobsen famously never played another season, and numerous other guys like Mark Quinn, Brant Brown, Kevin Roberson had pretty short and unremarkable careers.

Of course, Middlebrooks has hit very well so far, well more than just a few homers. AND the number of star and superstar players on this list is high enough that it’s pretty good odds (if Middlebrooks is “only” as good as Geoff Jenkins, he’ll still be a great player for a bunch of years.)

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