The Reds won a game last night on a walk-off homer that came in what had been up to that moment a 0-0 game. That is a rather rare occurrence, and had not previously happened in the majors this season. The last Cincy hitter to do it before Jay Bruce last night was Adam Dunn, in the 11th inning of a 2006 game against the Brewers. Before that Reds fans would have to go back to Paul O’Neill in 1990, and then to Hobie Landrith in 1954. The last 0-0 tie-breaking walk-off homer anywhere in the majors was by Brett Lawrie last September 5 against the Red Sox. The last one by a National League hitter prior to last night was by Matt Kemp more than two years ago, back on June 1, 2010 against the Diamondbacks.
Monthly Archives: August 2012
Tuesday game notes
Shutouts, shutouts everywhere….
@Yankees 3, Rangers 0: Hiroki Kuroda lost his no-no on an infield single in the 7th when the game was scoreless, but he went the route on 2 hits for his first 9-inning shutout since his rookie year, 2008. Nick Swisher got the party started once again, with a 2-run HR in the 7th, and “Me-too” Mark Teixeira followed with his 23rd — the first 2 batters faced by Alexi Ogando.
- Ogando started twice against the Yanks last year and was hammered both times, totaling 11 ER in 8 IP.
- New York had gone 13 months since their last 9-IP CG shutout — July 2011, by CC Sabathia.
Monday game notes
Dodgers 5, @Pirates 4: Shane Victorino‘s first HR for LA put them up 4-2 in the 5th, and an 8th-inning run built on Juan Cruz‘s wildness turned vital when the Bucs scored twice in their half. Kenley Jansen converted his 24th save (his 10th of the one-run species) as the Dodgers forged a tie in the West.
- Victorino also doubled home a run and sacrificed. He owns 2 of the 5 games this year containing a HR, another XBH and a SH.
- LA is 4-0 against Pittsburgh, by a combined score of 14-8.
- The Pirates have allowed 5+ runs in 7 straight games (2-5 record). They had not yielded 5+ in more than 3 straight before this stretch.
How do some players maintain such high BAbips?
Some players seem to be able to maintain really high BAbips (batting average on balls in play.) It’s one thing for a guy like Ichiro to do it…he has a .347 career BAbip, which is really high, but not so much higher than his career BA of .322.
Here are active players (minimum 2000 plate appearances) with BAbips at least 20% higher than their batting averages, minimum .296 BAbip, which is league average for 2012 only.
Rk | Player | PA | From | To | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shin-Soo Choo | .354 | .290 | 2760 | 2005 | 2012 |
2 | Dexter Fowler | .346 | .268 | 2013 | 2008 | 2012 |
3 | Michael Bourn | .345 | .275 | 3192 | 2006 | 2012 |
4 | Wilson Betemit | .341 | .268 | 2313 | 2001 | 2012 |
5 | Chase Headley | .338 | .270 | 2610 | 2007 | 2012 |
6 | Jack Cust | .337 | .242 | 2581 | 2001 | 2011 |
7 | Brad Hawpe | .337 | .276 | 3369 | 2004 | 2011 |
8 | Justin Upton | .336 | .276 | 2847 | 2007 | 2012 |
9 | Jayson Werth | .326 | .266 | 3743 | 2002 | 2012 |
10 | B.J. Upton | .324 | .255 | 3859 | 2004 | 2012 |
11 | Mark Teahen | .324 | .264 | 3171 | 2005 | 2011 |
12 | Alex Gordon | .322 | .268 | 2850 | 2007 | 2012 |
13 | Jeremy Hermida | .314 | .257 | 2261 | 2005 | 2012 |
14 | Bill Hall | .310 | .248 | 3674 | 2002 | 2012 |
15 | Kelly Johnson | .309 | .257 | 3631 | 2005 | 2012 |
16 | Mark Reynolds | .309 | .235 | 3248 | 2007 | 2012 |
17 | Rickie Weeks | .306 | .251 | 3800 | 2003 | 2012 |
18 | Ronny Cedeno | .299 | .248 | 2440 | 2005 | 2012 |
19 | Russell Branyan | .296 | .232 | 3398 | 1998 | 2011 |
Kind of a neat list, huh? It’s got some fast guys like Fowler and Bourn, who (like Ichiro) probably get a high BAbip because they are able to beat out a higher fraction of infield grounders). It also includes some three true outcome guys like Cust, Reynolds, and Branyan, who don’t necessarily put the ball in play that much, have low batting averages, and hit a higher rate of balls out of the park.
It is, in fact, these TTO guys who have the highest increase of BAbip over BA. Cust is tops, with a BAbip 39% higher than his BA. The rest of the leaders among the list above are Reynolds (31%), Fowler (29%), Branyan (28%), and Betemit (27%).
Sunday summary
@White Sox 7, Athletics 3: H.R. Pierzynski broke a tie in the 6th with his 23rd HR, touching off a 5-run uprising, and Chris Sale fanned 11 over 6.2 IP (2 each in the first 5 frames) for his 14th win.
- 23 HRs is the 3rd-highest ever by a catcher aged 35 and up, tied with Carlton Fisk, who also holds the top two marks (37 and 26). Pierzynski’s .560 SLG would break Gabby Hartnett‘s record of .548 for that same group. Fifteen of his 23 HRs have come at home.
- Continue reading
Friday game notes: Wild-card contenders
[I couldn’t finish last night and had tech troubles this morning, so here it is for whatever it’s worth by now.]
@Angels 6, Mariners 5: After dropping 6 of 8 to teams they’re chasing for one reason or another, the Angels needed this one bad, and in the end that’s how they got it. A 2-out, 1-and-2 pitch squirted away from Josh Kinney in the 9th, and pinch-runner Peter Bourjos was just fast enough to beat John Jaso‘s return throw and score the game-winner. Kendrys Morales had set it all up with a leadoff double; he had their only 2 hits in the last 4 innings, as the #2-3-4 men went 0 for 12.
Has anybody here seen Aroldis?
Is Aroldis Chapman injured, tired, bummed out, in the doghouse, attending childbirth, awaiting trial, on double-secret probation, or otherwise unavailable to pitch? I can’t find anything online to that effect, but consider the last 2 Reds losses:
- Aug. 8 — @Brewers 3, Reds 2 — Brewers reverse Cincy’s 1-run lead with 2 outs in the home 8th, on two separate RBI hits.
- Aug. 9 — @Cubs 5, Reds 3 — Bottom/8th, 1 out, Cubs break a tie on a 2-run HR.
Yet the most dominant pitcher in the world right now did not appear in either game. The man sporting the highest strikeout rate and lowest opponents’ batting average in MLB history has not pitched at all during Cincinnati’s 5-game losing streak.
Thursday game notes – AL
Rays 7, @Blue Jays 1: Matt Moore turned in Tampa’s third straight strong start (1 R, 2 H in 6 IP), and the Rays moved to 3-0 with Evan Longoria back in the lineup, even at DH — not only completing the sweep (with a total of 4 runs allowed), but resurfacing in the wide-open wild-card race. Losses by Detroit and Baltimore leave Tampa just a half-game out of a playoff spot and with a bit of momentum: They’ve won 10 of 15, including series wins over WC competitors LAA, OAK and BAL.
Pitching reliability – an honest day’s work
Quick – have you had a bad day at work this year? Pretty silly question, right. Well, if you’re among a select group of pitchers, maybe it’s not such a silly question. I’m talking about guys who deliver an honest day’s work almost every time they pitch and almost never have an “off day”.
As of this writing, there are still 5 pitchers this year who have put in a honest day’s work (HDW) every time they’ve pitched, and one (Ivan Nova) who had his streak snapped with his most recent outing earlier this week. After the jump, I’ll look more at the most reliable performers among major league pitchers.
Miggy, Henry & the Judge
Miguel Cabrera is in his 10th season. Just for fun, I compared his 10-year totals (projecting his 2012 rates to a full season) with those of Henry Aaron, who also debuted at age 20. Before you finish that derisive snort, let me state clearly that Aaron was without question:
- a better hitter than Cabrera (8 points of OPS+ is significant);
- a much better baserunner; and
- a far more valuable player, considering defense.
That said, their hitting totals are still interesting: