Category Archives: Uncategorized

A Time To Fly: Home Run Leaders By Inning

Sure, Barry Bonds has more career home runs than anyone else, but he is not even close to being  the leader in late-inning home runs. Bonds hit 201 regular season homers after the sixth inning in his career, well behind Hank Aaron (236), Babe Ruth (233) and Willie Mays (215).

Indeed, although Bonds is the all-time career leader in homers hit in the third inning, and also the fourth inning, and he is tied with Ruth for the all-time lead in homers hit in the first inning, he is not the career leader in homers in any one inning after the fourth.  I’ll look at the career leaders in homers for each inning, one by one, but first you need some exercise, so click on “Read the rest of this entry”   Continue reading

Quiz – full of sound and fury, signifying nothing

Much has been written this season about the exploits of Adam Dunn. But, until now (and with apologies to William Shakespeare), probably not this.

Dunn is among a short list of players with a peculiar “accomplishment”. Though all have played only in the expansion era, these are the only players to make this list among all players to have played their entire careers since 1901.

The quiz has been solved. Congratulations to Richard Chester! He identified that these players all have careers of 5000 PAs or more with career OPS+ of 125, yet career WAR of only 25 or less (or a 5:1 or worse OPS+ to WAR ratio). Thus, despite good offensive numbers, these players’ WAR scores are reduced dramatically due to poor defense.

Continue reading

Wednesday game notes

Belatedly, and most imperfectly….

@Orioles 5, Red Sox 3: For 5-1/3 innings, all Baltimore could do with Aaron Cook‘s offerings was beat them into the ground. Nobody even got the ball out of the infield fair: 19 batters, 13 groundouts, 3 walks, a strikeout, a foul fly, and a soft liner to short. But J.J. Hardy‘s liner to left opened the floodgates, and Boston’s lead was washed away by a 5-run deluge.

King Felix wears the crown of perfection

Mariners’ ace Felix Hernandez collected his and the team’s first-ever perfecto, fanning 12 Rays in a 1-0 victory, as Seattle took the rubber match of a 3-game set with Tampa Bay. The key defensive play came on the first hitter of the game as Eric Thames tracked down a Sam Fuld drive on the warning track in the right-center field gap.

For Hernandez, the game also marked his first no-hitter after a one-hitter in 2007 and four previous two-hitters, most recently against the Yankees two starts ago on August 4th. Hernandez continues his recent hot streak with his 5th straight start allowing 5 hits or less over 7 innings or more, the longest such streak in MLB this season.

It was the third time this season the Mariners have been involved in a no-hit game, the previous times being on the losing end of Philip Humber‘s April 21st perfect game for the White Sox, and a Mariners’ team no-hitter against the Dodgers on June 8th. Seattle is the first team with two no-hit games in the same regular season since the Angels in 1973 (Nolan Ryan twice) and the Cubs in 1972 (Burt Hooton and Milt Pappas). Roy Halladay, of course, had a regular season perfect game and a post-season no-hitter for the Phillies in 2010.

Continue reading

Goose-Egg Walk-Offs

The Reds won a game last night on a walk-off homer that came in what had been up to that moment a 0-0 game.  That is a rather rare occurrence, and had not previously happened in the majors this season.  The last Cincy hitter to do it before Jay Bruce last night was Adam Dunn, in the 11th inning of a 2006 game against the Brewers.  Before that Reds fans would have to go back to Paul O’Neill in 1990, and then to Hobie Landrith in 1954.  The last 0-0 tie-breaking walk-off homer anywhere in the majors was by Brett Lawrie last September 5 against the Red Sox.  The last one by a National League hitter prior to last night was by Matt Kemp more than two years ago, back on June 1, 2010 against the Diamondbacks.

Tuesday game notes

Shutouts, shutouts everywhere….

@Yankees 3, Rangers 0Hiroki Kuroda lost his no-no on an infield single in the 7th when the game was scoreless, but he went the route on 2 hits for his first 9-inning shutout since his rookie year, 2008. Nick Swisher got the party started once again, with a 2-run HR in the 7th, and “Me-too” Mark Teixeira followed with his 23rd — the first 2 batters faced by Alexi Ogando.

  • Ogando started twice against the Yanks last year and was hammered both times, totaling 11 ER in 8 IP.
  • New York had gone 13 months since their last 9-IP CG shutout — July 2011, by CC Sabathia.

Continue reading

Monday game notes

Dodgers 5, @Pirates 4Shane Victorino‘s first HR for LA put them up 4-2 in the 5th, and an 8th-inning run built on Juan Cruz‘s wildness turned vital  when the Bucs scored twice in their half. Kenley Jansen converted his 24th save (his 10th of the one-run species) as the Dodgers forged a tie in the West.

  • Victorino also doubled home a run and sacrificed. He owns 2 of the 5 games this year containing a HR, another XBH and a SH.
  • LA is 4-0 against Pittsburgh, by a combined score of 14-8.
  • The Pirates have allowed 5+ runs in 7 straight games (2-5 record). They had not yielded 5+ in more than 3 straight before this stretch.

Continue reading

How do some players maintain such high BAbips?

Some players seem to be able to maintain really high BAbips (batting average on balls in play.) It’s one thing for a guy like Ichiro to do it…he has a .347 career BAbip, which is really high, but not so much higher than his career BA of .322.

Here are active players (minimum 2000 plate appearances) with BAbips at least 20% higher than their batting averages, minimum .296 BAbip, which is league average for 2012 only.

Rk Player BAbip BA PA From To
1 Shin-Soo Choo .354 .290 2760 2005 2012
2 Dexter Fowler .346 .268 2013 2008 2012
3 Michael Bourn .345 .275 3192 2006 2012
4 Wilson Betemit .341 .268 2313 2001 2012
5 Chase Headley .338 .270 2610 2007 2012
6 Jack Cust .337 .242 2581 2001 2011
7 Brad Hawpe .337 .276 3369 2004 2011
8 Justin Upton .336 .276 2847 2007 2012
9 Jayson Werth .326 .266 3743 2002 2012
10 B.J. Upton .324 .255 3859 2004 2012
11 Mark Teahen .324 .264 3171 2005 2011
12 Alex Gordon .322 .268 2850 2007 2012
13 Jeremy Hermida .314 .257 2261 2005 2012
14 Bill Hall .310 .248 3674 2002 2012
15 Kelly Johnson .309 .257 3631 2005 2012
16 Mark Reynolds .309 .235 3248 2007 2012
17 Rickie Weeks .306 .251 3800 2003 2012
18 Ronny Cedeno .299 .248 2440 2005 2012
19 Russell Branyan .296 .232 3398 1998 2011
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/13/2012.

Kind of a neat list, huh? It’s got some fast guys like Fowler and Bourn, who (like Ichiro) probably get a high BAbip because they are able to beat out a higher fraction of infield grounders). It also includes some three true outcome guys like Cust, Reynolds, and Branyan, who don’t necessarily put the ball in play that much, have low batting averages, and hit a higher rate of balls out of the park.

It is, in fact, these TTO guys who have the highest increase of BAbip over  BA. Cust is tops, with a BAbip 39% higher than his BA. The rest of the leaders among the list above are Reynolds (31%), Fowler (29%), Branyan (28%), and Betemit (27%).

Sunday summary

@White Sox 7, Athletics 3H.R. Pierzynski broke a tie in the 6th with his 23rd HR, touching off a 5-run uprising, and Chris Sale fanned 11 over 6.2 IP (2 each in the first 5 frames) for his 14th win.

  • 23 HRs is the 3rd-highest ever by a catcher aged 35 and up, tied with Carlton Fisk, who also holds the top two marks (37 and 26). Pierzynski’s .560 SLG would break Gabby Hartnett‘s record of .548 for that same group. Fifteen of his 23 HRs have come at home.
  • Continue reading