Circle of Greats 2025 Redemption Round

This Circle of Greats (COG) vote is not to induct anyone into the Circle. Instead, this round of voting will select three or more players who will be restored to the secondary ballot after having been previously dropped from eligibility.

In this vote you may include on your ballot any major league baseball player who:
   –   was born before 1981; and
   –   played a majority of his games, in a career of 10 or more seasons, since 1901 or compiled 20 WAR (as measured by Baseball-Reference) since 1901 (this condition does not apply to players born before 1920 who were barred from major league baseball on account of race); and
   –   has not been elected to the Circle of Greatsand
   –   was not among the main or secondary ballot holdovers for the last completed round of COG balloting (COG 1980 Balloting Part 3); and
   – did not receive a Main ballot vote in the last completed round of COG balloting.

For this round of voting, you may vote for up to five (5) five players to cast a qualifying ballot.  The players with the 3 highest vote totals, including ties, will be restored to the secondary ballot for the next round of COG voting. To assist you with your selections, career stats for the most eligible candidates are provided here (though you may vote for any qualifying player).

The deadline to cast your ballots in this redemption round is Sunday night, March 23rd at 11:59PM EDT. You can change your votes until 11:59PM EDT on Friday night, March 21st.  You can keep track of the vote tally in this redemption round here: COG 2025 Redemption Round Vote Tally.

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Bob Eno
Bob Eno
9 days ago

This is not my ballot, but this discussion actually began informally in this year’s Round 2, and I thought I’d make sure the players mentioned then are part of the discussion now. Voomo mentioned five players: Joe Medwick, Ralph Kiner, Dizzy Dean, Goose Gossage, and Early Wynn — he then added David Cone during Round 3 discussion. nsb mentioned Bill Terry and Rick Reuschel. All these players seem interesting to me for various reasons — Reuschel’s candidacy troubled us for a very long time before he slipped off the ballots, and I think he’s a good example of someone who… Read more »

no statistician but
no statistician but
9 days ago

Here are some categories of possible candidatesBob Eno hasn’t mentioned, none of whom I am suggesting:

Fairly good hit/better fielding position players: Graig Nettles, Buddy Bell, Willie Davis, Keith Hernandez

Under the radar sluggers: Sal Bando, Larry Doby, Jim Wynn

Erratic Career Stars: Sherry Magee, John Olerud, Dwight Evans (The Accumulator)

Billy Herman, a category of itself

Tom Kaat, Jimmy John (Not to be confused with the sandwich chain): interchangeable pitching accumulators.

Jim Bunning (See B. Herman above)

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
8 days ago

Speaking of the sandwich chain, I just took a look at its B-R page and noticed this for the 1975 season: “Did not play – Eponymous Surgical Procedure”. I believe this is the only spot in all B-R stat records that is meant to elicit a smile.

Voomo
Voomo
8 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

There are a few intended chuckles in the transaction list on this page:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/ferrewi01.shtml

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
8 days ago
Reply to  Voomo

Nicely spotted, Voomo. According to the Bullpen article on Ferrell’s day, though, the transactions are, in fact, simply accurate reports. Ferrell was, indeed, traded for a comic actor to be named later, a washing machine, a hot dog, and so forth.

Doug
Doug
7 days ago
Reply to  Voomo

I’m curious about the batter he retired in his only pitching appearance.

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
6 days ago
Reply to  Doug

Ferrell’s feat was mighty. He retired Rico Noel, a lifetime .500 hitter so fast on the base paths that his stolen base total was more than twice the number of his plate appearances!

no statistician but
no statistician but
8 days ago
Reply to  Doug

What can I say? At my age you forget things. I presumed he was like Nettles, a best man for a long time, but never married.

Doug
Doug
8 days ago

If you’re looking for an “accumulator”, Darrell Evans is available, only 8.5 WAR short of Dwight and owner of some fun facts, including:
– first 400+ HR man to hit all of them aged 24 or older
– oldest player (38) to post a league-leading 40+ HR season

Evans compiled 16.2 WAR (almost 25% of his career total) in two monster 7+ WAR seasons (1973-74), but needed the following 7 seasons (1975-81) to “accumulate” that same total again.

Last edited 8 days ago by Doug
no statistician but
no statistician but
8 days ago
Reply to  Doug

Darrell E was a favorite of Bill James at one time, but Olerud did as much in 1700 fewer PAs, given that his home run power was only average for the era. Sherry Magee, along with Fred Clarke, whom I forgot in my previous listing, are the only dead ball era position players left that might qualify for COG status, unless my memory has failed me there, too. Magee outdoes Darrell E and Olerud in a similar career arc vis-a-vis WAR and OPS+, but labored in obscurity for poor teams. Clarke was overshadowed by Honus Wagner on those powerful early… Read more »

Paul E
Paul E
8 days ago

NSB, I am not 130 years old and I can’t swear to it but, I believe Magee may have been recognized for his ability since he was so talented and not to be ignored. On the other hand, yes, the whole trumpets and marching band thing for the guys on winning teams probably overshadowed Magee’s work. As a child I would read books about baseball history through the years and they were always/exclusively detailing the work of Mathewson, Tinker-Evers-Chance, Fred Merkle’s bonehead play, Wagner, Connie Mack’s A’s, etc.. during that era (1900-1920) No mention of Sherry. Apparently, Magee was ‘difficult’….… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
6 days ago
Reply to  Paul E

Paul, We probably read the same books. But I was always puzzled by one exception to your rule: Rabbit Maranville (mentioned on Voomo’s first list below). Although Rabbit played on two pennant winners, one famous (the Miracle Braves), his teams’ normal location was in the second division, and his batting stats were extremely weak (lifetime 82 OPS+; his value lay entirely in his skill at shortstop). Yet he was routinely featured as one the “greats” alongside Ruth and Cobb, and was elected to the Hall in 1954, as the books of our youth were circulating. Maranville came in a close… Read more »

Paul E
Paul E
5 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

As far as Maranville being the guy who entertained the sportswriters, perhaps that might explain Pete Rose over Joe Morgan (and Stargell and Bonds) for the NL MVP in 1973?

In similar fashion to Magee, Dick Allen led the LA Dodgers in WAR (and many other categories) as they finished a game behind SF. He didn’t get a single MVP vote. He hit .295 23 HR 90 RBI… I imagine the voters were expecting more?

Voomo
Voomo
7 days ago

Offensive leaders not yet in the COG The Greybeards (most PA): 12046 Palmiero 12013 Visquel 11260 Marinville 11240 Brock 11231 Aparicio 11229 Staub 10917 Damon 10861 Tony Perez 10772 Max Carey 10737 Darrell Evans Chicks Dig the Longball: 609 Sosa 583 Big Mac 569 Palmiero 493 McGriff 475 Stargell 473 Delgado 464 Nelson Cruz 462 Canseco 440 Giambi 414 Darrell Evans The Dirty Uniforms (SB): 938 Brock 738 Max Carey 668 Willie Wilson 649 Campenaris 558 Brett Butler 557 Davey Lopes 550 Cesar Cedeno 509 Fred Clarke 506 Aparicio 495 Keeler 495 Milan 470 Rollins 465 Scheckard 461 Bobby Bonds… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
6 days ago
Reply to  Voomo

Hi Voomo, I want to comment on the Dirty Uniform guys. Expectations about stolen base performance have changed a lot since I was young, and even more since the Deadball Era. There is a general consensus now that to be adding value a player’s SB success rate should be in the 67-75% range or higher. Although the balance of value is different depending on the out/base situation, anything lower than that range overall is likely subtracting rather than adding value. This was not the way SBs were understood in the past, where major attention was on the value of success,… Read more »

no statistician but
no statistician but
6 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

I’m not a fan of Aparicio, but it has irked me a little to have seen from time to time praised heaped on Maury Wills for having rejuvenated the art of the SB, when Little Luis was there ahead of him by at least a couple of years. COG material? The guy was a lead-off hitter who had a .311 OBP. The lowest current OBP in the COG is that of Brooks Robinson at .322, another glove man, true, but for many years an offensive threat whose lifetime OPS+ was 105, vs Luis’ 83.

I can’t buy it.

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
5 days ago

Well, I’ll grant you all that, nsb. But let me offer some push-back. I don’t want to mount a campaign for Aparicio, but I think he’s closer to the threshold than you do, and worth some consideration. First, I think Aparicio’s leadoff status shouldn’t be relevant: that placement is the manager’s responsibility, not the player’s. Second, his OBP needs to be considered in connection with his stolen base record. I don’t want to suggest any deep comparison with Brooks R, who is far above the CoG threshold. But Aparicio added a lot of bases by his speed, and while Brooks… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
5 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

Just an addendum: On the SB list, Vince Coleman actually should appear near the top: he had 752 SB with a rate of 81%. He qualifies for the CoG because his career extended over ten seasons, but he’s not a viable candidate because he compiled only 12.9 WAR in his tumultuous career.

no statistician but
no statistician but
5 days ago
Reply to  Voomo

Voomo: Your lists have the virtue of bringing to mind, I think, many if not all of the issues that have informed COG arguments in the past, both pro and con, but mostly con—perhaps obviously, since these players, other than the Negro League stars, have all been considered in their time and found wanting. The sluggers list, for instance, is top-heavy with suspects from the steroid era, guys who, one either suspects or knows, couldn’t have put up nearly such gaudy numbers without chemical assistance, and who don’t have the statistical credibility of a Bonds or a Clemens as to… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
5 days ago

nsb, With regard to your last question, which concerns Negro League players, I’m not clear myself. I notice that in the main post Doug created for this round he adds that the 10-year/20-WAR criterion that governs eligibility, “does not apply to players born before 1920 who were barred from major league baseball on account of race.” My previous understanding was that it did apply, but that we made an exception to the rule for Satchel Paige. The reason for the exception was that although Paige fell short of the 20-WAR threshold, the fact that he compiled about 10 WAR (124 OPS+) in… Read more »

Doug
Doug
4 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

Re: eligibility for Negro league players, rather than have a case-by-case decision on waiving eligibility rules, I thought I would just establish a rule. Arguably, I could have been more generous by a few years on the birth date cutoff, but my reasoning is that opportunities available to Negro league players born before 1920 would entail major league service mostly or completely age 30+, thus severely limiting a player’s ability to reach either the 10 year or 20 WAR major league threshold. FWIW, B-R has come up with WAR numbers for Negro league season, and counts them the same as… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
4 days ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug, I don’t have any argument with the criteria you adopted. My point is entirely about our ability to make informed decisions. I’m really speaking only about myself. As you point out, WAR is relative to the league. We’ve generally treated the AL and NL as equivalent (although they used to be far less mutually porous) and adopted a framework that equalizes the talent range in all seasons and eras, so that we treat relative quality as absolute quality. Otherwise, given a range of factors, the CoG would need to be overwhelmingly composed of players from recent eras, when performance… Read more »

Paul E
Paul E
5 days ago

Powerball/March 15, 2025

12 28 33 36 54 05

That’s five pennants 1912, 1933, 1936, 1954, and a 1905 powerball for the NY Giants. Alas, NY failed in 1928 by a mere two games to the St Louis Cardinals.

Sorry, a little too much OCD here…..

Doug
Doug
4 days ago
Reply to  Paul E

The ’28 Giants were just a half-game behind on Aug 23rd, but then lost eight in row to fall to 6½ back on Aug 31. They then won 24 of 28 to stand one game back with the Cubs coming to town on the final weekend of the season. 35,000 showed up to see the Giants split a twin-bill to open the series, then only 15,000 the next day as the visitors bested Giants ace Larry Benton to force the G-Men to the brink of elimination, and finally only 2,000 witnessed the Giant denouement as the Cubs took the measure… Read more »

Paul E
Paul E
4 days ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug,
Thank you for the play-by-play and explanation of how it all played out. I believe some iteration of the late 1920’s NY Giants had a large number of eventual Hall of Famers…. Roush, Ott, Hubbell, Terry, Hornsby, Lindstrom etc…

I’m probably way off on those guys; just top of my “aging” head

Doug
Doug
1 day ago
Reply to  Paul E

The ’23 to ’29 Giants each had 7 HOFers, except for the 1928 team which had only 6. The ’28 Giants lost Grimes and Hornsby from the year before, and added a rookie named Hubbell.

Paul E
Paul E
1 day ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug,
Thanks again. If I had to debate the ‘superior set” of HoF’ers, I’d probably go with 1927?

I was not aware of all those guys in the earlier years that were in the Hall…. some friends of Frankie Frisch in all the groups, for sure.

no statistician but
no statistician but
3 days ago

On the basis of the dialogue above between Bob and Doug, I’ve decided to cast a vote for Josh Gibson as a crying exception to the normal voting constraints for COG consideration. While Gibson doesn’t have the highest lifetime WAR rating among Negro League greats, that is owing only to the fact that his playing days came when the seasons were shorter than those of Turkey Stearns, et al. Although the legend of his home run hitting prowess has always seemed to me to belong more in the realm of Paul Bunyan and John Henry and not to be trusted… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
2 days ago

nsb, I’d be very surprised if there were not a general sense here that Gibson was CoG caliber — there’s a guy who has not the slightest need of a catcher’s bonus, but has one nevertheless. I don’t mean to oppose Gibson’s redemption/ultimate election. I do want to advocate for laying groundwork before we cross a line to new ground I think we’re unprepared to find our way on. The case for Paige, which I supported, was that he was a unicorn: there was no one else in his class (significant and dispositive evidence of excellence in an MLB setting,… Read more »

no statistician but
no statistician but
2 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

Just a brief counter argument: If we assume that, for example, the NNL of Gibson’s years was operating on average at a level of competence 80% of that shown by the AL and NL, Gibson’s WAR/ year drops from 10.5 to 8.4. Here are some not quite random figures for comparison: Ruth 10.5 Mays 8.4 Cobb 8.1 Aaron 7.0 Wagner 7.6 T. Williams 8.6 Gehrig 8.5 Mantle 7.4 Trout 9.2 but that’s partially an illusion. Catchers: Bench 5.6 Fisk 4.4 Cochrane 5.4 Carter 4.9 Dickey 5,1 Simmons 3.3 I’m not interested in assessing the Negro Leagues, and I doubt you… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
2 days ago

nsb, I don’t think the math can work that way. It’s not in question that Gibson is the most outstanding position player reflected in Negro League stats. The the question is replacement level, which is what WAR is relative to. Given the demographics of the US, the white leagues had roughly nine times the overall talent pool available to Black leagues. By the time of Gibson’s career the white leagues had a well organized minor league system to filter and train-up natural talent to high performance standards. I don’t know the degree to which the Black leagues were able to… Read more »

Paul E
Paul E
2 days ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

Beyond the whole Negro League’s quality of play/depth question, Bill James made what appears to be the oversimplification that, ” if Mays, Aaron, Frank Robinson, and Bob Gibson are amongst the all-time greats, then their Negro League predecessors Oscar Charleston, Josh Gibson, Lloyd, Buck Leonard and Paige must be among the greatest ever” regardless of the level of competition. I have no idea how one quantifies that assessment to corroborate his conclusion. James and his ilk often try to predict rookie performance based on things like PCL and International League/American Association performance versus how that translates to performance in MLB.… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
1 day ago

Using Doug’s list of Redemption Stats, I came up with the following lists of WAR rate figures for position players and pitchers (I hope I didn’t screw up my Excel table!). For position players, I cut off at 56.6 total WAR and 3.4 WAR/500PA, and for pitchers at 54.9 pWAR and 3.0 pWAR/162IP (the reasons for the cutoff points are below). Players are listed by rate (Doug’s list is sorted by WAR, and can be resorted many ways–thanks!–but doesn’t include WAR rates, which I like to use). Position players ………………WAR/500PA……….Tot.WAR Doby……………..4.1………………..56.8 Terry……………..4.0………………..56.6 Hartnett…………3.8………………..55.5 Edmonds……….3.8………………..60.4 Bando…………..3.7…………………61.5 Bo. Bonds……..3.6…………………57.9 Hernandez……..3.5………………..60.3 Magee…………..3.5………………..59.4 Clarke……………3.4………………..68.0… Read more »

no statistician but
no statistician but
19 hours ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

Hartnett is already a COG member. Glad to find that I’m not the only one who’s made that kind of mistake in this discussion. The COG list is long, and the eyes see only what they want to see some times.

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
17 hours ago

Any gaffe you can make I can make better.

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
1 day ago

Here’s an argument for Bret Saberhagen, who surprised me by leading all potential pitching candidates in WAR rate by about 10%. I compared Saberhagen to Dizzy Dean, whose very, very short career is, I presume, the reason why he isn’t in the CoG. His flame certainly burned bright enough for seven seasons to get him into the Hall despite the low total of 150 wins (Koufax is a reasonable parallel). If we compare Saberhagen 1985-1991 with Dean 1932-1938 the resemblance (allowing for structural changes in the role of pitchers) is very close. ………WAR….per162……..W-L……….CG………ShO……..ERA+…….SO/BB BS….39.2……..6.3…..100-67..599….62………..13………..130………..3.46 DD….41.9…….5.8……140-76..648…143……….24………..134………..2.70 Dean is superior in workload… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
21 hours ago

Here’s an argument for Larry Doby, who leads all unredeemed position players in WAR rate (by PA). When Doby first entered the CoG conversation in 2014 his WAR total was 47.2, because B-R did not include Negro League figures (I believe that revisions to WAR per se also boosted his total, which now stands at 49.1 for his MLB play). One comment noted that Doby was 23 when he started in the Majors, and so the impact of segregation on his career was not as profound as some others. There were no figures concerning his Negro League performance. He quickly… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
16 hours ago

I don’t actually understand how B-R calculates WAR/162G for either batters or pitchers. In looking at Doug’s off-ballot leaders I substituted WAR/500PA for hitters (a lazy approach; it should have been 502, meaning a qualifying season) and pWAR/162IP. But doing some calculations that turns out to be quite different for the B-R figures. So here’s a list that compares our current Secondary Ballot candidates to some of the leading off-ballot candidates (bolded) vying for redemption (as we all are in this vale of tears!), using the 500PA and 162IP standards. I’ve listed those with identical one-decimal figures according to their… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
15 hours ago
Reply to  Bob Eno

Couldn’t resist extending this to the Primary Ballot candidates. Position Players ………………..WPA/500PA………Total bWAR Allen………………..4.0……………………58.7 Jones………………3.6…………………….62.7 Randolph………….3.5……………………65.9 Ashburn……………3.3……………………64.2 Guerrero…………..3.3……………………59.5 Helton………………3.3……………………61.8 Sheffield…………..2.8……………………60.8 Ortiz………………..2.7……………………55.3 Simmons…………..2.6…………………..50.4 Pitchers ………………pWAR/162IP………..Total pWAR Papelbon………….5.2……………………23.3 Santana……………4.1……………………51.7 Coveleski………….3.3……………………62.0 Tiant………………..3.1……………………66.1 Sabathia…………..2.8……………………62.3 Lyons……………….2.7…………………..70.6 I have to conclude that either I’m making systematic errors, or B-R’s rate stats (/162G) are based on some different form of calculation. On rate stats, the relative order of the players should be identical regardless of the absolute parameters. On the pitchers in particular this does not hold. (I can understand it for Papelbon, since relief pitcher scales should probably be different, but B-R has Santana and Coveleski… Read more »

Voomo
Voomo
14 hours ago

Vote:

 Joe Medwick
Ralph Kiner
Dizzy Dean
Goose Gossage
David Cone

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
12 hours ago
Reply to  Voomo

Interestingly I had only one of your five on the lists I calculated, Voomo. Turns out that Dean is somehow missing from Doug’s table (I wondered whether we’d also voted him into the Circle without my recalling) and Kiner fell below the cutoff I was using. I’d been studying both their records and should have had them in mind. Here are the two WAR figures for your guys: Kiner………3.8/500PA…..48.0 bWAR Medwick….3.3/500PA…..54.5 bWAR Dean………3.6/500PA…..43.9 pWAR Gossage….3.7/500PA….41.6 pWAR Kiner’s rate is a little above Boyer’s and helps his case, in my view. Dean’s rate is, of course, like Saberhagen’s. I think we… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
4 hours ago
Reply to  Voomo

Thinking more about Dean and his resemblance to Saberhagen, I added Koufax to see how the three matched up. All had impressive seven-year peaks: ……………….pWAR….per162IP……..W-L……….CG………ShO……..ERA+…….SO/BB Saberhagen….39.2……..4.2…..100-67..599……..62………..13………..130………..3.46 Dean………..….41.9…….3.8……140-76..648…….143……….24………..134………..2.70 Koufax………….47.6……..4.3……137-60..695…….122………..37…………147…………3.73 These are really high per162IP peaks. For comparison, Walter Johnson’s best seven-year stretch has a rate of 5.5 and Christy Mathewson’s was 4.5. (Of course, their peaks were part of a mountain range, not surrounded by plains.) Outside the peak years, Saberhagen exceeds both Dean and Koufax, with 19.7 pWAR, vs. Dean’s 2.0 and Koufax’s 5.2. (Koufax actually had a six-year peak with 46.4 pWAR and a 4.6 rate and only 6.7… Read more »

Voomo
Voomo
2 hours ago
Reply to  Voomo

Medwick: His peak was short, but during those years he was arguably the best position player in the NL not named Ott. Kiner: He led the league in HR his first 7 years. In 1947, his 2nd year, Pittsburgh moved the LF power alley to 355 feet. So, I acknowledge that maybe Alvaro Espinoza might have hit 40 there. Voting for that black ink anyway. Dean: Best pitcher from age 23-27. One of the greatest characters. Goose: We have only acknowledged Mariano and Wilhelm out of the pen. Goose is right there. Cone: He was exceptional for a.long time. I… Read more »

Bob Eno
Bob Eno
3 hours ago

Here’s my vote: Doby Terry Saberhagen Cone Edmonds My last slot was a toss-up between Edmonds and Bando. Edmonds looks very much like Reggie Smith and Bando looks a lot like Ken Boyer. Since I’ve voted for both Smith and Boyer to be on the Primary Ballot, I see both Edmonds and Bando as qualified CoG prospects, but there’s room for only one on my ballot here. One thing this exercise has convinced me of is that the CoG threshold area is very crowded and likely to become more so as replacement-level standards continue to rise. I think we may… Read more »

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
57 minutes ago

Here’s my five:

Ralph Kiner
Larry Doby
Bill Terry
Willie Stargell
Lance Berkman

However I was surprised to see Charlie Keller was so high up on the list of OPS+.