@Blue Jays 8, Yankees 1: I confess — I did not pencil in Kyle Drabek for 7 strong IP against the Yanks. In 3 prior starts (13.2 IP), they pummeled him for 12 runs and 27 baserunners.
- Robinson Cano got his 300th double in game #1,090. In the game-searchable era, only 9 players got there faster. For all time, Cano is the 13th to reach 300 doubles within 8 seasons; one of those is his teammate, Mark Teixeira.
- The Jays are only 4th in AL HRs (betcha don’t know who’s #1), but they bunch ’em: This was their 7th game of 3+ HRs, tied for the lead.
- Swing/gone: That ball was scalded. So was this one.
- Encarnacion has had streaky power in the past, but never topped 26 HRs or 76 RBI; he now has 13 HRs and 34 RBI in 38 games.
- Yanks are now 0-8 when they don’t homer, the only team without such a win. Last year, they were 20-24, the 2nd-best W% in homerless games.
@Indians 9, Mariners 3: Payback: When King Felix faced the Indians in April, he squelched them for 8 IP with 12 Ks. Tonight they peppered him for 8 runs on 10 hits in 3.2 IP, producing a Game Score of 13, the 2nd-worst of his career. It’s just the 3rd time he’s allowed 8+ runs out of 214 career starts.
- Ubaldo Jimenez wasn’t brilliant, but his 2 walks (in 6 IP) were a season low and his strike percentage a season high. How much impact can a single walk have? Here are his career records by walk total: 1 walk (30 starts), 2.96 ERA; 2 walks (36), 3.46; 3 walks (35), 4.21.
- Each team hit 1 solo HR, but the Tribe put 19 other men on base by hit or walk.
@Rays 2, Red Sox 1: Boston won the first 3 games against Tampa by a combined 31-11; they’ve lost the next two 1-0 and 2-1.
@Padres 4, Dodgers 2: Baseball is a long and twisty road for a career minor-leaguer like Dale Thayer. He got his first taste at 28, but logged just 26 IP in the majors over the last 3 years (1 save, 3 losses), and this April began his 7th season at AAA. Suddenly, he’s locking down games for the Padres, notching his 4th save in 9 days. He’s tossed 8 scoreless innings without a walk.
- SD beat LA for the 1st time after 6 losses. Chase Headley powered the W with a go-ahead 2-run double and his team-high 5th HR. Clayton Richard, coming in on a 5-start losing streak, settled in after a quick 2-run 1st and allowed just 2 more hits through 7 IP; no walks helped him do it in 90 pitches.
Orioles 4, @Royals 3 (15): Adam Jones just learned that nothing takes the sting out of an 0-for-6 like a game-winning bomb.
- KC came home after winning 4 straight on the road, where they’re 11-7. Now they’re 4-14 at home.
- 2nd scoreless start in 3 this year by Felipe Paulino, who has a 21 Ks and 5 walks in 18.2 IP. A win would’ve upped his career record to 12-32, but…
- Broxton blew it — 4 hits, 2 runs, no strikeouts. He’s a solid 8-for-10 in save tries, but there are warning signs. Ten of his 15 games have been K-free, and his current 5.5 SO/9 is less than half his career average. Through 2009 (5 years), Broxton averaged 11.9 SO/9 and a 147 ERA+. He hasn’t been the same since.
- I just saw something weird on the MLB network. They cut in to show Adam Jones at bat in the 15th, giving every impression that it was live — commenting pitch-by-pitch, one guy predicting that Jones would swing from the heels on a 1-0 pitch, etc. While the AB is supposedly still going on, I peek at the live box score on my laptop and see that Jones has already homered and the next guy made out. What was the point of MLB’s deception? Do they do it often?
Reds 6, @Mets 3: Turned the channel for 5 minutes to watch the NY Rangers score a power play goal, and by the time I got back the Mets’ bullpen turned another slim lead into a 3-run deficit. Switched back and the Devils had tied it up. (At least I only care about one of these games.)
- Pitcher Mike Leake went 2 for 2 with a run and a sacrifice, raising his career BA to .270 (31/115) — despite striking out in 35% of his non-sacrifice PAs. His BAbip is .425.
- Wouldn’t be surprised if D.J. Carrasco is released before the month is out. He was awful last year, hurt and awful so far this year, and he’s 35. Mets TV team noted that for the 2nd straight night, Carrasco helped complete a player’s first-ever 2-HR game — first Travis Ishikawa, then Todd Frazier. (Postgame update: Carrasco was DFA’d. Now I feel bad.)
Twins 11, @Tigers 7: First win this year by a team whose SP lasted 2 IP or less and yielded 6+ runs. There were 2 such games last year and 18 over the past 5 years.
- Season-high in runs for the Twins, who’re still last in AL scoring.
- Detroit erred for the cycle in the early innings — miscues from 1B, 2B, SS and 3B — contributing to 4 unearned runs.
- Rick Porcello (6 R, 2 ER in 4 IP) continues to suffer from Mike Pelfrey syndrome: Can’t put ’em away. He didn’t walk anyone, but still threw 100 pitches to 20 batters. His 5.4 SO/9 so far is a career high, but that’s still in the bottom quartile of AL qualifiers. Some things are going well — he’s walked just 9 in 45 IP, and his GB/FB ratio is among the top 10. But a pitcher with a very low K rate needs to do everything else well, and Porcello still allows too many HRs.
- Since a 9-3 start, the Tigers are 9-16 and haven’t won 2 in a row.
How does Moyer getting a win and 2 rbi’s not get a note?
Also of note: Emilio Bonifacio is a perfect 20/20 stealing bases.
On the list of oldest players to collect an RBI (or even rarer, a 2-RBI game), where would Moyer rank after tonight?
I believe he’s the oldest player with an RBI. He surpassed Julio Franco.
He is the oldest. He is about 5 months older than Franco was.
Thanks for that; the MLB recap didn’t mention it. I thought Minnie Minoso might have snagged one! Just another incredible tidbit in a historic season.
Jimbo, it’s a fair question, and here’s my answer: When I see that every other media source has highlighted an event such as Moyer’s 2-run infield single, his being the oldest ever to drive in a run, etc., to the point where I don’t think I have anything to add, that event tumbles down my list of priorities.
Thanks for the note on Bonifacio. Since 1951 (the point from which both leagues have maintained official and continuous CS data), the record for most SB without being caught is 23, by Chase Utley in 2009. Two others had 20+, Kevin McReynolds (21) and Paul Molitor (20).
Of course, Bonifacio isn’t going to stop running and eventually he’ll get caught. So the more relevant question is, what’s the most SB from the start of a season before getting caught? But I can’t answer that with the Play Index.
I do know that Vince Coleman started 1989 with 44 SB before he was caught. I’d guess that’s the record, but I don’t know for sure.
Here’s a link to Coleman’s run at the beginning of the ’89 season:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=colemvi01&t=b&year=1989&share=3.72#610-698-sum:batting_gamelogs
Conversely, Ichiro ended the 2006 season with 39 consecutive steals without being caught:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=suzukic01&t=b&year=2006&share=0.61#813-957-sum:batting_gamelogs
Another interesting note about Bonifacio that I wasn’t aware of, and maybe only Marlins devotees are: Emilio already has 7 or 8 delayed steals this year, where he hesitates a second or two, widens his lead, and then takes off. He seems to have perfected the art of beating whoever is covering second to the bag. Unfortunately, there is no way to measure how many delayed steals are occurring across baseball, but having that many at the quarter point of the season seems pretty rare.
bstar, isn’t the delayed steal a lost art in modern baseball, whether of home or second?
If we are indeed entering another low-offense era in baseball, and the evidence is mixed, then the
re-emergence of the delayed steal will become more pronounced.
Does Bonifacio time his steals to coincide with the catcher returning the ball to the mound?
Neil, the one delayed steal they showed Bonifacio pulling off appeared to be one where he only hesitates enough to let the 2B/SS think he’s not going and then takes off. He’s so fast that he beats whoever is supposed to cover to the bag, so no it doesn’t appear to be the type of delayed steal you are referring to.
Oddly, Jason Heyward just got gunned down as I typed this attempting a delayed steal after a HBP.
I want to say something about the amazing season that Asdrubal Cabrera is having. Last year, he struck out in 17.8% of his plate appearances; this year only 6.5%! Similarly, last year he walked in only 6.6% of his plate appearances. This year it’s 12.3%.
And here’s hoping he at least comes close to sustaining! Both the team and town could use some good times. His babip is a bit above normal but at his career average so who knows. The Tribe still hasn’t faced Detroit, hopefully he can hang with the likes of Fister and Verlander better than he has in the past.
If you’ve been watching, what do you think of his defense? He’s constantly on highlight reels and BR has a positive dWAR for him this year and last. However, FG shows his UZR to be in the tank throughout his career. His arm does seem on the weak side I guess.
Good point, Ed. A lot of offseason prognosticators said that Asdrubal Cabrera could not sustain last year’s power surge, which rested on a freakishly high percentage of his fly balls going over the fence.
And they may be right — but, fortunately for Cleveland, he had a few more offensive tricks up his sleeve.
He’s on pace for 39 strikeouts in 626 PAs. The last qualifying Indian with less than 40 strikeouts was Carlos Baerga in 1995 (31 Ks in 600 PAs).
A few comments:
1) I’m in Europe right now so no opportunity to watch games. And evaluating fielding isn’t my specialty. I’ve read mixed reviews about his defense over the years.
2) Despite his power surge last year, his OPS+ (120) wasn’t that different from 2009 (114).
3) There were comments about his wearing down as the season went on last year so we’ll have to see how that plays out this year. (his OPS was .836 in the first half, .729 in the second)
4) He actually came under a lot of criticism this year because he came to camp overweight. But it obviously hasn’t effected his play.
5) Comparisons to Carlos Baerga scare me John. Please cut that out!!! 🙂
6) I’m not sure how you’d measure it, but I’d love to know how his turn around in SO/BB ratio ranks historically. Seems like that kind of one year turn around would be quite rare.
1 SO, 0 BB today but worked a nice AB to turn an 0-2 count to 3-2 before an RBI single.
The entire Indians team seems to wear down last year. I blame it on whatever is in the water there that’s giving every Browns player staph after a surgery.
Hey, I’M the one who should be scared of Baerga comparisons, Ed! You guys got the popsicle; my Mets only got the stick.
After that, I tried to convince the Mets never again to trade for an Indians second baseman (“fool me once…”), but my imprecations fell on deaf ears.
Hands off our current 2nd baseman John!!!
I know this is blasphemy and perhaps a sign that all this 2012 stuff might actually come to fruition, but…… the Yankees and Red Sox might finish in a tie for last place.
Too bad it’s not like European league soccer where they could be demoted to the minors!
Voomo, it’s possible. The 64 Dodgers through in an 80 win season after they won the series in 1963. From 62-66 they had 102 wins, 99 (WS), 80, 97 (WS) and 95 (lost WS). 64 was an off year and they had some injuries. The 67 Orioles basically did the same thing-76 wins the year after they swept the Dodgers. From 64, they had 97,94,97(WS),76, then 91, 109 (lost WS) and 108 (WS). 67 they had a bunch of subpar years and a lot of injuries to their pitching. Both the Yankees and Red Sox are older, less talented, and have key injuries.
This nearly happened in 1966:
Red Sox 72-90: 9th place, 26 GB
Yankees 70-89: 10th place, 26.5 GB
The Red Sox did a little better in 1967.
I notice Cardinals games aren’t covered in these usually. Why is that?
Michael, perhaps you don’t happen to read my posts on the right days to catch Cardinals coverage. For recent reports, check Tuesday Tidbits or Saturday Nightcap.
http://www.highheatstats.com/2012/05/tuesday-tidbits-2/
http://www.highheatstats.com/2012/05/saturday-nightcap/
I don’t think I’ve underreported the Cards, relative to other teams outside my primary interests (Mets & Tigers).
Michael, John Autin is the most equitable blogger in the baseball universe, gining equal coverage to all markets, in my experience.
There’s probably a slight east coast bias since the games end earlier and John has to get up in the morning and go to work. Apparently Andy isn’t paying him quit-your-day-job-type money.
… or quit-my-paper-route-type money, for that matter.
I’m not complaining, just emphasizing the point: This is a hobby/start-up gig. I do my best and try to have fun, writing what interests me and hoping that it finds an audience. I’m flattered that Michael wants to hear my take on the Cardinals, but I simply can’t cover 12-15 games a day.
John, glad you could turn this around and take it as a compliment, because that’s really what it is. You need to come up with a standard reply to these comments that you can just easily paste without a second’s hesitation. Of course, my personal opinion is that you do hate the Cardinals, have an east-coast bias, and are both a stumble-bum and a hack. 🙂 🙂 🙂
If I may invoke the Sports Guy:
“Yup, these are my readers.” 🙂
(I may be a hack, but I try to be a Smiling Stan Hack!)
John, just want to add my voice to those praising your write-ups. I live in Europe and can watch day games on MLB.com, but don’t get to view any under-the-lights action due to the time difference. I also don’t have a whole lot of access to recaps the next morning – the European press being notorious for its indifference to the US’s national pastime 🙂 Your improvement on Yahoo’s reports and that of other such sources is substantial. Also, as a Cubs fan, I couldn’t care less if you never covered the Cards 🙂 🙂
Thanks, tag!
I told my wife about the Cards fan’s lament. She said that “East Coast bias” is real, but that Cards fans have the least grounds for complaint.
Of course, she’s from Kansas….
P.S. The nerve of those Old-World snobs, turning up their noses at our noble sport after we’ve bent over backwards to embrace their whatchama-footsy-thingy!
A few notes on Adam Jones:
-Paired with his 17th-inning 3-run-HR in Boston two weeks ago, last night’s shot makes him the first player to hit two homers in the 15th inning or later in the same season since Mark McGwire in 1988.
-The Orioles are 11-1 this year when Jones hits a home run. 9 of his 12 have either tied the game or put the O’s in the lead.
And the game in general:
-The Orioles have played 7 extra-inning games already this year. They lost the first 2 at home, and have now won their last 5 in extras, all of those coming on the road.
-Baltimore is riding a 6-game road win streak, their longest since 2004. Oh, those Lee Mazzilli days.
I just saw something weird on the MLB network. They cut in to show Adam Jones at bat in the 15th, giving every impression that it was live — commenting pitch-by-pitch, one guy predicting that Jones would swing from the heels on a 1-0 pitch, etc. While the AB is supposedly still going on, I peek at the live box score on my laptop and see that Jones has already homered and the next guy made out. What was the point of MLB’s deception? Do they do it often?
Yes, they do. I noticed it the first time last year when I flipped over from a game I was watching on another channel that had just ended in walkoff fashion, and moments later they cut in to show the ending of that game I had just watched “live”. Even before, though, I noticed that far too often something big happened every time they went to “live action” of a game and figured it was actually slightly tape delayed….
Since everything else on TV is staged and phony, I guess MLB Network’s highlight show needs to be as well….
There is a middle ground here: I accept that the producer knows what is about to happen when he directs the feed to the on-air talent, but the on-air talent might not know. They can guess that something is going to happen–but have no clue whether it is a bases loaded strike out, or a triple play or a grand slam. That way, the on-air talent can make fresh comments as if they were seeing it live rather than having to play act their surprise.
At least, if I were producing the show, that’s how I’d do it.
Very late to the discussion here, JA, but it was a watershed start for Kyle Drabek last night for the Blue Jays.
After recent rough outings, he was poised to return to meltdown form against a patient, veteran Yankees’ team.
Was it the old demotable, Kyle Drabek or the “new” 2012 version?
His sinker was explosive, his ball movement was tangible when he threw it to the middle of the plate on his other pitches, and the Yankees couldn’t really touch him.
Kyle Drabek still doesn’t trust his “stuff”, but he will be in the rotation for a while now after last night’s start.
JA, regarding the MLB Tonight “Live” look-in being on delay, I noticed that a couple years back. They don’t do it all the time but they do it on occasion. I’m sure you notice that on occasion they’ll say that something has happened in a game before they go to break.
With more than half a dozen games going on sometimes it’s not easy to be looking in on the right one at the right time, and if they always offered full disclosure about when they already know the outcome of an event it would probably make the show itself seem like very few of the big important events are ever looked in upon live, and it would feel more like MLB Tonight “Just Happened Recaps” than “Live Look-ins”, since most look-ins, in terms of outcome, are pretty mundane. So they fudge a bit sometimes.
But anyway, yeah, they’ve been doing it for quite a while, and I couldn’t speak to frequency, but I’d guess it comprises a small fraction of the dramatic look-ins and a still smaller fraction of look-ins overall.
Fireworks, I was going to try and post some sort of defense of MLBNetwork and how they do things, but you said it way better than I could have.
MLBN has come a long way, and I continue to be impressed with their rapid progression from a hard-to-watch network into one that has become very relevant and, often times lately, essential if you’re interested in seeing the most important at-bats on a daily basis. The fact that they might fudge a few seconds every now and then seems excusable to me given the exciting moments they are providing us in very often real time.
The only place where you and I differ is that MLBN was never hard to watch for me. It was poor on programming in the beginning, for certain (and still poor in it’s own way–I was excited about “Baseball IQ” but it didn’t really turn out the way it should’ve and there should be a daily version of a similar show, in my opinion), but my TV is tuned to it a good 75% of the time to it during the season, more in the offseason.
Then again, I watch all my TV shows and movies on my 1080p monitor…
But I do agree. I love MLB Tonight. The nature of baseball lends itself to peeking in on games all night. The only studio show for a major sport that I’d say is (or was–I don’t really watch it anymore) better, is “Inside the NBA”. I hear Shaq is slowly destroying the chemistry that made the show great, like an infestation of termites silently destroying a home’s structure, but I always loved “Inside the NBA” and when MLB Tonight does their little Photoshop gags, it doesn’t often have the same guffaw-inducing punch that it had for me on “Inside the NBA.”
Even so, nothing is better than MLBN when your team has an off-day and you are hungry to soak in several hours of baseball coverage. They’re best when they’re breaking down the mechanics of a player’s swing, or delivery, or poor footwork. Less impressive is when someone is obstinate of what advanced metrics clearly say about a player’s abilities or performance.
It just occurred to me, as I listen to “Quick Pitch” in the background for the nth time, and the “Justin Verlander!” joke is half thrown out there from Kate Upton’s somehow hilarious “Perfect Club” MLB 2K12 commercial (it was used at least once by of the hosts during a QP recap, something to the effect of “all I can say is, ‘Justin Verlander! Again?!'”) that the one thing MLB Tonight needs to test out a couple times is bringing in celebrity baseball fans for some coverage. Ones who are funny, know baseball enough at least to rate better than a casual fan, and won’t pontificate, plug, or ham it up too much.
Maybe the above paragraph is just an excuse to see Kate Upton in the MLBN studios. I’m not sure. All I know is that for some reason I find the way she talks funny and she was at the MLB Fan Cave professing to be a big Yanks fan and I wanna see if she was telling the truth and knows anything about sports.
Sorry for the long post, I’m sleep-deprived. I will now return to my usual schedule of reading several posts at a time two or three times a week and being among the very last people to comment on a post.
Thanks for the background on MLB Network. I’ve just recently started tuning them in, and I’m sure I’ve brought my own presumptions about implicit “live”-ness of their look-ins.
Now that I know they’re not actually representing those as being live, I can better appreciate the vibe of their format. I do like that their pace isn’t as rushed or payoff-centered as what you get on ESPN’s SportsCenter or Baseball Tonight; it’s a little more like the pace of actual baseball.
And I never thought I’d say this, but I even Harold Reynolds tolerable in this format — more conversational, less pressured to make some big point quickly, which is not his strength. He never seemed comfortable on ESPN.
And now to get banned from posting on HHS.
Cole Hamels is tiring. With his Phils up 3-1 with none out in the eighth inning, he surrenders a walk, a single up the middle, and has gone to 3-0 on the batter at the plate.
Rich Dubee (pitching coach): Cole’s gonna walk this guy.
Charlie Manuel: Ayup.
Rich: Not very old school of him.
Charlie: S’pose not.
Rich: You know, after you bring Bastardo in to face the lefty, you should bring in Papelbon.
Charlie: What? That doesn’t make any sense. It’s not a save situation.
Charlie flaps a hand at Rich and walks out of the dugout to the mound, motioning to the bullpen to bring in Bastardo. After patting Cole on the rear and handing Bastardo the ball, Charlie heads back into the dugout.
Rich: But it is a save situation.
Charlie: What? It’s not.
Rich: Actually, it is. If Papelbon finished the game–
Charlie: Finished the game? What the hell are you talking about, Rich? Even if Bastardo gets this guy here, that’s still leaves Pap to get five outs. That’s like… that’s closer abuse.
Rich: So who are you going to bring in after Bastardo?
Charlie: I don’t know. Contreras? I gotta save Pap. Can’t waste him on this situation–it’s not a save situation. The closer gets the save. The others guys get nothing.
Rich: They get holds.
Charlie: Holds? What the heck is a hold?
Rich: It’s when a reliever *holds* the lead but doesn’t finish the game.
Charlie: Sounds like a worthless, made-up stat.
Rich says nothing for a while; he stares off into space blankly. Bastardo gets to an 0-1 count.
Rich: Papelbon is our best reliever. He should be used during the most critical situations. He might not have a chance to protect the lead if one of the other guys has blown the save already.
Charlie: Closers get the save.
Rich reaches into his pocket.
Rich: You see this Slim Jim?
Charlie turns, interested.
Charlie: Yeah. Why do you have a Slim Jim in your pocket.
Rich: Pence likes them. He told me that 80% of his diet is Slim Jims and the other 20% is Mountain Dew. I keep a few extra handy in case he needs a boost.
Charlie: That one you holding there spoken for? You have any more?
Rich: Nevermind that. Anyway…
Rich snaps the Slim Jim about 2/3rds along its length.
Charlie: Hey now, Rich! That’s a perfectly good processed beef jerky snack there you don’t have to go wastin’ it. I made it clear I wanted it, didn’t I?
Bastardo has a 2-2 count.
Rich continues, unperturbed.
Rich: See this big part here, Charlie? This is the starting pitcher’s effort.
Rich snaps off a small part of the smaller piece.
Rich: And this here, this tiny piece, this is the closer. This is Papelbon.
Rich quickly jams the larger piece from the original 1/3rd into Charlie’s mouth.
Charlie begins to chew hungrily on the juicy little roll of meat, his mouth watering.
Rich: Now spit it out.
Charlie mumbles through a mouthful of Slim Jim.
Charlie: Wuzzat now?
Rich: Charlie, spit it out.
Charlie: No, that is wasteful, and silly.
Rich: If you spit it out, I’ll give you a whole case of Slim Jims. I have them in my car.
Charlie spits out the mouthful of Slim Jim onto the dugout floor.
Rich holds up the original large piece of Slim Jim representing the starting pitcher and the tiny piece representing Papelbon.
Rich: This here’s the starting pitcher, and this here’s Papelbon. But the rest of the Slim Jim, chewed up and spit out on the floor… well, that’s the rest of our bullpen. Every time.
Bastardo induces a pop out.
Charlie looks at the three pieces of Slim Jim. He walks over to the dugout phone, and tells Mick Billmeyer to get Papelbon up, then heads out to the mound to tell Bastardo to stall by throwing over to first.
After a couple minutes, he brings Papelbon in and Papelbon promptly blows the save. But Charlie’s eyes were opened that day, and from that day forward he sought to use his best relievers at the most crucial moments of the game as they presented themselves, rather than waiting for save situations to present themselves in those games that hadn’t been lost by lesser relievers on the mound during those most crucial of moments.
True story.
Banned? Banned?!? I’m pretty sure you just got hired!
That’s a helluva piece there, Fireworks.
Randy Savage, stathead.
That’s a beautiful bit of writing there, Fireworks.
Fireworks-
You left out the part where the skies opened up and a heavenly choir came down singing Handel’s “Hallelujah Chorus”.
Or were you saving that part for when you sell the movie rights?
what those other guys said. WOW, dude. 😀
Inspired work, Fireworks. Glad Nash posted about this or it would have slipped through the cracks without me getting to read it.
Fireworks, you wrote dialogues like this back in BB-Ref blogs that cracked the rest of the community up.
So what comedy sitcm do you ghost-write for? 🙂
Great parody(?).
Thank you guys. I on rare occasion have to imagine some sort of ridiculous conversation in the dugout to explain the moves managers make.
The two I wrote about previously are about Scioscia, http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/13714#comment-133733 and Girardi, http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/12631#comment-126751
Thanks for the auspicious writeup. It if truth be told was once a amusement account it.
Look advanced to more introduced agreeable from you!
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