Wednesday’s wallops

Orioles 8, @Red Sox 5Aceves reflux? Joel Hanrahan, the Proven Closer imported to soothe Boston’s 9th-inning heartburn, had surrendered a leadoff HR, but was one strike away from closing it out with no one aboard. Then Ryan Flaherty singled, and Hanrahan crumpled.

 

 

The pinch-runner stole 2nd during a 4-pitch walk. Nate McLouth, down 1-and-2, took 3 wide ones to fill ’em. A wild pitch tied the game, and Manny Machado untied it on the next offering, muscling one into the specialty seats for his first HR of the year.

  • Chris Davis finally went deep again, on a 1-2 hanger from Hanrahan.
  • Boston hit 2 in a row off gopher breeder Tommy Hunter. He has the 3rd-highest HR% ever among pitchers with 2,000 batters faced.

@Cardinals 10, Reds 0: “Momentum is tomorrow’s starting pitcher.” After the 9th-inning debacle in Monday’s home opener, the Cards answered first with Lance Lynn’s 10-K special, and now a CG shutout by Jake Westbrook, his first since 2006. Rookie Matt Adams, whose pinch-HR sparked Tuesday’s comeback, continued to make the most of his sparse chances with a line of 3-1-2-3, HR, 2B, walk; he’s now 9 for 14.

  • It’s Cincy’s worst shutout loss since late 2009, when Chris Carpenter homered and drove in 6 before bowing out early.

Rays 2, @Rangers 0: Matt Moore labored through 16 outs, with 6 walks and just 8 of 22 first-pitch strikes, but he kept Texas off the big board and preserved his spotless ERA. Tampa milked their first run from 3 Derek Holland walks, when Ben Zobrist beat out a DP turn, and manufactured the other on a double, groundout and sac fly.

  • Fernando Rodney last year worked a clean inning or more in 25 of his 76 games, but he’s still looking for one this year. A leadoff hit tonight, the third time in as many games that his first batter has reached, meant he faced the tying run 3 times, but he got ahead of them all and set them aside.

@Giants 10, Rockies 0: Barry Zito has won his first 2 starts for just the 2nd time in his 14 seasons, and has consecutive scoreless games of 7+ IP for the first time since 2002. He also went 2 for 3 with an RBI, and scored twice for the first time ever. The Jints scored 7 in the first two frames, chasing Jeff Francis behind Buster Posey’s 2 extra-base hits to deep CF, and the rout was on.

  • Zito is 8-2, 2.51 in 19 career starts vs. Colorado.

Blue Jays 8, @Tigers 6: Is 8 games too soon to declare a federal bullpen emergency? Or can we get an exorcism, based on their 6.66 ERA and 10 of 16 inherited runners let in? Detroit led 6-2 when Rick Porcello left in the 6th, with 2 on and no outs. Those both scored immediately, and the Jays scored 4 more the next inning, fueled by 3 walks from Brayan Villareal, no stranger to that sort of thing.

Braves 8, @Marlins 0: Mike Minor burned 101 pitches in 5.2 shutout stanzas, but that was mostly in a scoreless game. In the 5th, Evan “Git-Out” Gattis, becoming a Story in these opening weeks, mashed another tater from the cleanup hole, a 3-run shot that triggered a 6-run eruption that cracked it wide open.

  • B.J. Upton got a rest from his 3-for-29, 12-K start, and his leadoff stand-in, Andrelton Simmons, drove in his first 2 runs of the year, doubling B.J.’s season total.
  • Jordan Schafer, hoping to salvage a career that peaked in class A (getting waived by Houston last fall didn’t help), went 4 for 5 with 2 runs in his first start of the year, and started the big inning with a bunt single and steal.

@D-backs 10, Pirates 2: The career clock is ticking on Jonathan Sanchez. The deluge started with his pick-off error, and when his book was closed in the 4th, the Bucs trailed, 9-1. Chris Leroux, another whose leash may be tightening, followed with 3 straight walks, forcing in 2, before the opposing pitcher took a swing on 2-1 out of mercy or boredom.

  • A.J. Pollock, part of the replacement for Justin Upton, doubled and then homered twice in his first 3 trips.
  • With a lefty on the hill, Pedro Alvarez was out of the lineup for the first time, but he extended his season-long streak with a pinch-whiff. That’s 14 Ks, 2 singles in 30 ABs.

@Nationals 5, White Sox 2: The DP combo had 5 hits, 3 for extra bases; Bryce Harper’s blast tied the game in the 4th; Jordan Zimmermann did his quietly-effective routine; and the Nats remained perfect at home.

  • ChiSox went 0-for-5 with RISP, now hitting .133 in that realm. They had 9 hits, but no walks. They’re last in the majors with 13 walks in 8 games.

@Phillies 7, Mets 3: Back-to-back disasters for Mets starters (more runs than IP), as Chase Utley and Domonic Brown lit up Jeremy Hefner for 5 runs in the 1st. Kyle Kendrick slipped out of a bags-full noose in the 2nd with a pair of called strikeouts. Mike Adams got 3 of those in the 8th, as Philly hurlers notched 8 of their 10 Ks via umpire’s judgment.

  • John Buck lashed his 5th HR, his first ever 3-game HR streak. Lucas Duda had a career-high 10 total bases (2 HRs and a double). 
  • There were 748 disaster starts in MLB last year, and 87% wound up as losses. The Mets are less able than most teams to overcome, going 1-26 in disaster starts last year, 7-101 since 2009.
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Hartvig
Hartvig
11 years ago

Great stuff as always, John.

Maybe I’ve just never noticed before but it almost looked to me like Utely might not have taken a full swing on his center field blast.

Tim Pea
Tim Pea
11 years ago

This is a great story about Paul Konerko from ESPN. Looks like it was even written by a gal. There are some mentions of sabrmetrics that I thought were interesting as well. I have been singing about how great Paully is for many years now.
http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/34607/konerko-redefines-challenges-expectations

RJ
RJ
11 years ago

Jonathan Sanchez has pitched 6 innings just once in his last 22 starts.

Thomas
Thomas
11 years ago

Hefner’s first outing against Philly went well enough, with him getting the win while pitching a quality start, his last three he’s struggled. In July he gave up 5 hits while only recording 4 outs in a relief appearance. In a September start he didn’t record an out while the first 7 batters reached base against him. Then last night the first 6 batters reached and 5 scored (due to a caught stealing). So there was a streak of 13 batters that reached and 12 scored for the Phillies against him. As a fan of the Phillies I fear greatly… Read more »

Thomas
Thomas
11 years ago
Reply to  Thomas

Sorry, that should say his last three appearances against them as opposed to his last three starts against them in that first sentence.

deal
11 years ago

-I felt as though Hanrahan came unglued after not getting call on 3-2 pitch v McClouth w/ 2 out in 9th. after that he went very wild pitch and HR to Machado. -Lucas Duda had the top B-R batting game score of the night and the Mets only scored 3 runs. Felt as though Mike Adams and Papelbon go some close calls v Mets in 8th and 9th of that game but a Phils fan will take them. -For SP GameScores it was Flashback night as Jake Westbrook and Barry Zito topped the list. -The Blue Jays 3 big off… Read more »

Luis Gomez
Luis Gomez
11 years ago
Reply to  deal

Pitching standars are really low these days. 3 Earned runs in 6 innings pitched equals a 4.50 ERA… hardly quality in my opinion.

RJ
RJ
11 years ago
Reply to  Luis Gomez

Luis, I was about to jump in and say something half misremembered about quality starts, but then I realised that instead I could just use Google to find John Autin saying it better… And here we are:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/14497#comment-143042

That is essentially what I was going to say: whilst the minimum requirement for a QS is pretty bad, the vast majority of quality starts are not like this.

Luis Gomez
Luis Gomez
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I completly agree. I really don´t know if QS are an official stat, or it´s just a measure analysts and writers use, but it should be a good thing if every single start considered as a Quality Start, actually is a quality one backed by numbers. (Geez, I hope it made sense because it´s hard to explain yourself in a second language :))

Thomas
Thomas
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

This is from Wikipedia: An early criticism of the statistic, made by Moss Klein, writing in The Sporting News, is that a pitcher could conceivably meet the minimum requirements for a quality start and record a 4.50 ERA, seen as undesirable at the time. Bill James addressed this in his 1987 Baseball Abstract, saying the hypothetical example (a pitcher going exactly 6 innings and allowing exactly 3 runs) was extremely rare amongst starts recorded as quality starts, and that he doubted any pitchers had an ERA over 3.20 in their quality starts. This was later confirmed through computer analysis of… Read more »

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Thomas

I get 1.94 as last year’s average ERA over all the regular seasons quality starts in the majors.

bstar
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Another reason quality starts are not considered that vital of a stat is because often the manager dictates whether or not you get a QS. Consider Mike Minor’s start fro Atlanta last night. 0 ER and 5 hits allowed, but since the Braves were up big on the Marlins, Minor gets pulled after 5.2 IP and he gets charged with a non-QS. The fact that Minor pitched a non-quality start has very little to do with his actual pitching performance. He got pulled because of the manager’s discretion and because the game was already out of hand. And what about… Read more »

mosc
mosc
11 years ago
Reply to  Luis Gomez

I think 6IP/3ER is very close to the 50/50 line which is what I always thought that stat was about. Give an IP/ER line for which the starter has a >50% chance of winning and less than which he has a >50% chance of losing. For example, I would expect: 6IP/3ER: >50% chance starter’s team wins 5.2IP/3ER: <50% chance the starter's team wins 6IP/4ER: <50% chance the starter's team wins Quality is pitching well enough for long enough to improve your team's chances of winning. I mean, you are going to get an IP threshold for 0ER, 1ER, 2ER, 3ER,… Read more »

deal
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

What happens if you dropped the Earned part. Really whether on not the run is Earned doesn’t affect a teams chances of winning. Does a pitcher that gives up 3 Runs over exactly 6 get any closer to winning 50%?

mosc
mosc
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

so JA, if you’re willing, what inning totals does a pitcher need to reach in order for his team to have a >.500 winning percentage when allowing 3 earned runs? Bonus points for 2 or 4 earned runs?

deal
11 years ago
Reply to  deal

and today Josh Johnson runs the 6inn or Less 3ER or more streak to 6 among the Blue Jays new3 (Johnson/Buehrle/Dickey)

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Miggy had gone 401 games without a triple, nowhere near Mark McGwire’s record of 1377. The current leader is Russell Martin with 666 games and Edward Encarnacion is second with 408. Miggy had been third.

Brent
Brent
11 years ago

Kansas City 3 Minnesota 0 (not mentioned above) –Royals sweep the Twins in a series for only the 2nd time since 2003. — Joe Mauer has owned the Royals for the last 3 years, with over a .400 average against them overall and even better at Kaufman Stadium, where his average is over .500 against them in the same time period, so it was shocking to see him, in a 3 inning span (9th inning of Tuesday’s game, 1st and 2nd inning of Wednesday’s game) take the white hood (aka K, K, K), especially since 2 of those at bats… Read more »

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

The first bases-loaded walk to a pitcher for 2012 didn’t come until game #16. But it was a doozy. With two outs and runners on 2nd and 3rd, the Braves Randall Delgado intentionally walked #8 hitter John McDonald of the D-Backs. Delgado then walked pitcher Ian Kennedy on four pitches. Gerardo Parra followed that with the grand salami on a 1-0 pitch (do you suppose Delgado might have grooved one, just to get it over?). All this in the 2nd inning. Must be Delgado’s answer to “You know it’s going to be a bad day at the office when …”… Read more »

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago

Most homers by a catcher in his team’s first 9 games of the season (1916-2013):
Gabby Hartnett (1925) 6 homers
Carlton Fisk (1973), Sandy Alomar, Jr. (1997) and John Buck (2013) 5 homers

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

The 1935 A’s allowed opponents 5.3 runs a game with Foxx behind the plate, and 6.0 after he went to first base — how bad could he have been back there?

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

How odd that Foxx is nowhere to be seen among John Buck’s top Similarity Scores. Must be a flaw in the system.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

JA: I did a PI search. I was unable to find anyone with as many as 19 RBI in their first 9 games (Davis now has 19 in 9 games).

bstar
11 years ago

That indeed is the 9-game record, Richard. Heard it on ESPN, so it has to be true.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

One RBI record Davis hasn’t got is most games with an RBI to start the season. That mark belongs to Jorge Cantu at 10 games to start the 2010 season.

Good trivia answer. If someone doesn’t believe it, you can say “Jorge can too”. 🙂

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

I noticed in today’s Nats/White Sox game that Bryce Harper had 2 hits, 2 runs, 2 RBI and 2 walks. Last season, Harper became the youngest player with this “deuces wild” extravaganza. Now, he’s also the the youngest to do it twice.

ReliefMan
ReliefMan
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Amazingly, the second of those walks was Harper’s first-ever IBB (unless you want to count getting plunked by Hamels in his 9th career game, which had much the same effect).

Only 687 more to go!

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

Tommy Hunter … has the 3rd-highest HR% ever among pitchers with 2,000 batters faced. But, what he doesn’t have is a season on this list. Rk Yrs From To Age 1 Carlos Silva 2 2005 2006 26-27 Ind. Seasons 2 Jon Lieber 2 2004 2006 34-36 Ind. Seasons 3 David Wells 2 2003 2004 40-41 Ind. Seasons 4 Brad Radke 2 2003 2005 30-32 Ind. Seasons 5 Rick Reed 2 1998 2002 33-37 Ind. Seasons 6 Josh Tomlin 1 2011 2011 26-26 Ind. Seasons 7 Bronson Arroyo 1 2011 2011 34-34 Ind. Seasons 8 Greg Maddux 1 2004 2004 38-38… Read more »

RJ
RJ
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Maddux’s HR/9 that year was 2.5 times greater than his career average, 25% greater than his next worst season (the year after) and 50% greater than any other season.

RJ
RJ
11 years ago

Not a great day for closers today in Wrigley. Romo got beaten by some mashed fastballs with a little help from the wind, whilst Fujikawa seemed to think that pitching like Carlos Marmol was a requirement for a Cubs closer. It’s the first I’ve seen of him; his control left something to be desired.

RJ
RJ
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

No one walked that inning?! Felt like every guy was on the verge of it. Posey was HBP… I think that counts.