Say, that feller ain’t half-bad

A major-league pitcher is 20-3 in his last 33 starts, covering one calendar year. Here are his full stats in that span, along with his rank among all qualified pitchers in the last 365 days:

Gms W-L Team ERA IP H BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS WHIP SO/9 SO/BB
33 20-3 24-9 2.86 213.2 158 58 257 .205 .263 .339 .602 1.01 10.8 4.4
1st (t) 9th 16th 2nd 2nd 2nd 8th

 

(Note: The rankings are based on B-R’s date-based search for the last 365 days, which I’m told may be buggy, and does not include all stats. The totals presented above are from his game logs, calculated by me and double-checked. There’s a 2-inning disparity between my calculation and the date-based search; all other tallies match up.)

 

This is his 5th full year in the bigs, and he’s yet to log a 200-IP season. He has not been an All-Star (rightly so), nor received any votes for big awards.

But he’s turned a corner. He’s been so consistent in the past calendar year that he was removed during an inning just 3 times in 33 starts — and he won 2 of those 3 with quality starts. He didn’t allow more than 5 runs in any of these last 33 starts, which is the longest active streak.

So far this year, all of his rate stats are career bests, except that his SO/9 is down just a bit from last year’s MLB-best mark.

I can’t tell if the baseball public has noticed his long run of outstanding performance. When I read or hear of upcoming games, I don’t sense any buzz of, “Ooh, he’s starting!” He doesn’t even stand out in his own rotation; the only other pitcher with 20 wins in the last calendar is his superstar teammate.

But let the buzz begin. Max Scherzer has arrived.

(Now imagine the numbers he’d have if the defense ever showed up.)

____________________

In other developments:

In the aftermath of Ian Stewart’s Twitter twaddle and ensuing suspension, Theo Epstein got off a brilliant, barely veiled jab:

“Currently, we have the second best production out of third base in the league. We are getting really good defense at third base, too. If that were to change and Ian would excel at the Triple-A level, we would consider calling him back up here. In the meantime, we are very happy with our production at third, and Ian is working on trying to figure out Triple-A pitching.”

Stewart’s hitting .168/.657 for AAA Iowa, while fanning in one-third of his PAs.

__________

The Dodgers-Diamondbacks dust-up featured 6 former MVPs or MVP runners-up now in the coaching biz. Chronologically:

  • 1979 AL MVP, Don Baylor
  • 1985 AL MVP, Don Mattingly
  • 1987 AL MVP runner-up, Alan Trammell
  • 1987 AL ROY and ’98 NL MVP runner-up, Mark McGwire
  • 1988 NL MVP, Kirk Gibson
  • 1994 NL MVP runner-up, Matt Williams

Mattingly and Baylor were teammates on the 1983-85 Yankees, Trammell and Gibson on the 1979-87 Tigers. McGwire and Williams never played together, but they were cross-Bay rivals for 10 years, and Williams finished 2nd to McGwire in the 1999 RBI race.

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Dr. Doom
Dr. Doom
10 years ago

Surely “.168/.657” MUST be a typo, right?

Dr. Doom
Dr. Doom
10 years ago
Reply to  Dr. Doom

Oh… I see. The .657 must be the OPS, rather than just the slugging. I was very confused for a second at the guy hitting (almost) nothing but homers with a .168 average.

Hartvig
Hartvig
10 years ago
Reply to  Dr. Doom

From the article that was linked to: ” Stewart, batting .168 with 45 strikeouts in 113 at-bats for Iowa,” I get that he’s frustrated about being relegated back to the minors after a couple of modestly successful seasons in the big league at a reasonably young age but he’s been a total train wreck the past couple of years and if anything has looked even worse this year. And now he’s got them pissed off enough that even if they can’t invalidate his contract they might just bite the bullet and let him rot on suspension for the rest of… Read more »

Jonas Gumby
Jonas Gumby
10 years ago

McGwire looked like one angry dude in that LA/AZ scrum. Perhaps he and Donnybrook can deliver the line-up cards tonight.

bstar
bstar
10 years ago

John, I hope I didn’t suggest the results of the tool you used were buggy. I just have found for myself that: -it’s difficult to change the button from “yesterday” to “N number of days”. Sometimes it takes me three clicks, sometimes four. If you click it one more time in frustration, it will revert back to “yesterday” -the only way I’ve found to actually type the N number of days in the box is to click and hold, then peck in the number you want with your other hand. Otherwise, the box will not accept the number I type… Read more »

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  bstar

bstar: There is a GS column on the results page.

bstar
bstar
10 years ago

I know that, Richard, but then it’s not sorted by ERA, or WHIP, or SO/9, or whatever stat you were looking for in the first place for starters.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  bstar

You could sort by GS and then copy and paste the results of just the starters into an excel spreadsheet and do your sorting for other stats there.

Hartvig
Hartvig
10 years ago

I’ve got tickets to see the Twins & Tigers in September and while I’m just happy to be going I’d prefer to see either Verlander or Scherzer on the mound. Of course if Verlander were still going out with Kate Upton and there was a chance that she might come to the game then old Max would just have to wait.

Bryan O'Connor
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  Hartvig

I won’t cry for you if you have to settle for Sanchez or Fister.

robbs
robbs
10 years ago
Reply to  Bryan O'Connor

Or 5th starter Porcello, with toights 3-hit shutout thru 7 — just pulled. So desperate for a closer here in Motown there is talk of making Porcello our closer. Anyone what is Porcello’s ERA or WHIP w/o the disaster in LA — 9 runs in one inning start?

RJ
RJ
10 years ago

Geraldo Parra must have heard our compliments about his fielding:

http://wapc.mlb.com/play/?content_id=27980221

That’s a “triple” for Hyun-jin Ryu, now batting .259 with 3 XBH. Not bad, considering it’s my understanding they use the DH in Korea.

mosc
mosc
10 years ago

Reading the line, I thought this was a Kyle Kendrick post. He’s even less heralded than Scherzer. None of his stats match Scherzer’s level but then again he’s an even more surprising source to get it from.

mosc
mosc
10 years ago

Steve Sax was in that fight as well. ROY, 5 all-stars, but never higher than 13th in MVP voting.

brp
brp
10 years ago
Reply to  mosc

He also made it on The Simpsons on Burns’ ringer baseball team.

Jimbo
Jimbo
10 years ago
Reply to  brp

How many games would Burns lineup be worth in the MLB?

Roger Clemens, Wade Boggs, Ken Griffey, Jr., Steve Sax, Ozzie Smith, José Canseco, Don Mattingly, Darryl Strawberry and Mike Scioscia. 1992.

Lets assume the rest of the team is a bunch of replacement type players worth 0-1 WAR each.

Artie Z
Artie Z
10 years ago
Reply to  Jimbo

Well, here’s their bWAR for 1991 and 1992: Player 1991 1992 Clemens 7.9 8.8 Scioscia 2.3 -0.5 Mattingly 1.6 2.7 Sax 4.1 0.1 Boggs 6.4 2.2 Smith 5.0 5.0 Canseco 5.2 2.3 Griffey 7.1 5.8 Strawberry 3.6 0.2 Total 43.2 26.6 I put 1991 in there because Sax was arrested for being from NY and because they had some unsolved murders in NY so the team was probably based on 1991 stats. It was a vastly better squad in 1991 than in 1992, with only Clemens and Mattingly improving and Ozzie holding steady. Granted, Strawberry’s softball WAR was probably through… Read more »

Bryan O'Connor
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  mosc

For those of you who haven’t seen Dan’s must-read accounting of those who participated in the fight by Hall Rating:
http://www.left-field.blogspot.com/2013/06/the-hall-of-stats-and-last-nights.html

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
10 years ago

Anyone noticed Manny Machado’s reverse splits?
Besides being on pace to break the doubles record, he is mashing Right on Right:

.340 .373 .507

While losing the battle vs lefties with the advantage:

253 .291 .413

He’s also whacking at league average at home:

278 .316 .421

While thumping it out of a suitcase:

.348 .380 .532

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

Voomo,

Some Machado trivia – this year, he became the youngest player in the searchable era with two career game of 3+ doubles. Before Machado, who was the youngest player to do this?

Machado also this year became the first player since Buck Jordan and Bill Dickey in 1934 to do something. What was it?

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug: Was Arky Vaughan the youngest before Machado?

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Indeed, it was Arky Vaughan, who was just slightly younger than Joe DiMaggio, with both about 10 months older than Machado.

Those three are the only players since 1916 with two 3-double games by the end of their age 21 seasons (Machado has another season and a half to make that 3 or more such games).

The other answer is that Machado is the first player since 1934 to record 3+ hits in 5 consecutive road games.

Ed
Ed
10 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

Voomo – I wonder if that’s sustainable. Dave Justice had a similar reverse platoon split his rookie year. He only had a .827 OPS against righties but 1.099 OPS against lefties. His second year though his platoon split was normal, .930 against righties and .798 against lefties. And for his career he had a normal platoon split, .890 against righties and .848 against lefties.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

For a minimum 3000 PAs, the biggest career reverse platoon advantage for a RHB is just .007 for Sherm Lollar. Only 46 RH batters have a positive career reverse platoon advantage.

For a season, the biggest reverse advantage for RHB (min 300 PA) is .042 by Bobby Grich in 1980 (.313 vs RHP, .271 overall). For lefties (min. 150 PA), it’s .075 by Jim Gantner in 1985 (.329 vs LHP, .254 overall)

mosc
mosc
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

great stats JA and Doug

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
10 years ago

Does anyone know why (and if) Mike Trout is struggling on defense?
Last year, 21 Rfield.
This year, thus far, -11.
On pace to be one of the worst outfielders of all time !

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Trout had four plays that BIS scored home-run robberies last season…
Those four plays accounted for 7.4 of Trout’s runs saved last season — basically one-third of his total.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

One play this year that probably cost Trout some defensive marks was in the 16 or 17 inning game against Oakland.

What probably should have been the game-winning home run back in the 10th inning appeared to bounce off a facade overhanging the LF fence and land in the field of play, a few feet from a surprised Trout. No “indisputable video evidence” apparently (only well-reasoned inferences from the sudden change in the ball’s trajectory), so the play stood as a triple (would have been an IPHR if the batter hadn’t been admiring his shot).

T-Bone
T-Bone
10 years ago

The Max Scherzer story is even more compelling considering this story. A must read.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/9130536/detroit-tigers-max-scherzer-pitches

Hartvig
Hartvig
10 years ago
Reply to  T-Bone

Wow. What a compelling story. I’d read something about his brothers death in a story early last year when he’d gotten off to a really poor start but yet he was still making time on his off days to visit kids in the hospital and for charitable events. I respected that and this story only strengthens that respect. I think we forget sometimes that ballplayers are human. I don’t think I’ll ever forget that Scherzer is.

Hartvig
Hartvig
10 years ago
Reply to  Hartvig

I forgot to mention that I have no use for ESPN the Magazine and it’s attempts to pander to the 5 second attention span audience but the writing here is as solid as anything you would find in Sports Illustrated during it’s heyday.

bstar
bstar
10 years ago
Reply to  T-Bone

Thanks for that article, T-Bone. A must-read.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago

Since 2000, there have been 44 20-win seasons, but only 3 pitchers (Curt Schilling, Randy Johnson, Roy Oswalt) have back-to-back 20-win campaigns. To do something like what Scherzer has done by winning 20 spanning parts of two seasons is almost as rare as back-to-back.Using the 1st half/2nd half Split finder, these are the only pitchers since 2000 to wins 20 spread over the 2nd half of one season and the 1st half of the following season, with at least 8 wins in each half. Player WW LL W-L%% Roy Oswalt 2004/2005 24 10 0.706 CC Sabathia 2009/2010 23 5 0.821… Read more »

T-Bone
T-Bone
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Wow! Barry Zito used to be pretty good!